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Will Russia capture Hryshyne by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection located at 48.326824° N, 37.081821° E in Hryshyne, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/H1.png Intersection Location in Hryshyne: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/H2.png Hryshyne Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/H3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h8ZuXgFCYGM77Upc6 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Ticker
will-russia-capture-hryshyne-by
Volume
213.5K
24h volume
13.0K
1w volume
96.0K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
71.9K
Liquidity CLOB
71.9K
Start
Jan 21, 2026
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 21, 2026
Event ID
179545
Slug
will-russia-capture-hryshyne-by
Markets
4
Raw event data
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"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection located at 48.326824° N, 37.081821° E in Hryshyne, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date ET.\n\nThe intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red under a below-specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded by the specified date ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nFor any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the intersection under the above-specified conditions, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nIntersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/H1.png\n\nIntersection Location in Hryshyne: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/H2.png\n\nHryshyne Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/H3.png\n\nLocation on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/h8ZuXgFCYGM77Upc6\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap is rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.",
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}- Will Russia capture Hryshyne by June 30, 2026?Vol 4.6KLiq 26.7KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Russia capture Hryshyne by April 30, 2026?Vol 16.8KLiq 21.0KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?Vol 143.1KLiq 24.1KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Russia capture Hryshyne by February 28, 2026?Vol 49.0KLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed