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Prediction market · Polymarket
This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.
Ticker
will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by
Volume
5.1M
24h volume
13.1K
1w volume
377.9K
Open interest
0
Liquidity
117.3K
Liquidity CLOB
117.3K
Start
May 22, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2025
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
May 22, 2025
Event ID
25036
Slug
will-russia-capture-kostyantynivka-by
Markets
11
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"title": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?",
"description": "This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.",
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"creationDate": "2025-05-22T21:22:27.724648Z",
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"question": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?",
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"question": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kostyantynivka railroad station located on Pravoberezhna vulytsia by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.\n\nOnce Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.\n\nTrain Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg\n\nTrain Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg\n\nKostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg\n\nLocation on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.\n\nNote: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.",
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{
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"question": "Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?",
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