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Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market refers on the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Hailey Baptiste in the Miami Open, scheduled for March 25 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Hailey Baptiste. This market will resolve to 'Hailey Baptiste' if Hailey Baptiste advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
wta-sabalen-baptist-2026-03-25
Volume
650.2K
24h volume
643.7K
1w volume
650.2K
Open interest
411.8K
Liquidity
1.6M
Liquidity CLOB
1.6M
Start
Mar 24, 2026
End
Apr 1, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 25, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Event ID
301953
Slug
wta-sabalen-baptist-2026-03-25
Markets
10
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Aryna Sabalenka's 88.5% implied probability in her Miami Open matchup against Hailey Baptiste reflects her status as world No. 2 and dominant hardcourt form, entering with a 20-3 record in 2024 after winning the Australian Open and reaching the Indian Wells final. Baptiste, ranked No. 98 and entering as a qualifier after strong wins over Ostapenko and Brengle, faces a steep uphill battle in their first head-to-head, where Sabalenka's power serving and baseline aggression have overwhelmed similar underdogs. No injuries reported for either, but Sabalenka's 82% win rate on Miami hardcourts versus Baptiste's limited top-tier experience underpins trader consensus on the heavy favoritism.",
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}- Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey BaptisteVol 622.2KLiq 543.4KEnd Apr 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5)Vol 14.6KLiq 55.0KEnd Apr 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs BaptisteVol 3.6KLiq 230.3KEnd Apr 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- Sabalenka vs. Baptiste: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Vol 1.8KLiq 225.7KEnd Apr 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- Sabalenka vs. Baptiste: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Vol 146Liq 223.5KEnd Apr 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- Sabalenka vs. Baptiste: Match O/U 21.5Vol 3.3KLiq 19.9KEnd Apr 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- Aryna Sabalenka vs. Hailey Baptiste: Total Sets O/U 2.5Vol 2.4KLiq 24.1KEnd Apr 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- Sabalenka vs. Baptiste: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Vol 1.7KLiq 221.7KEnd Apr 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- Sabalenka vs. Baptiste: Match O/U 23.5Vol 313Liq 12.4KEnd Apr 1, 2026OpenOrder book
- Sabalenka vs. Baptiste: Match O/U 22.5Vol 313Liq 12.3KEnd Apr 1, 2026OpenOrder book