
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
cilia-flores-released-from-custody-by
Volume
1.2M
24h volume
4
1w volume
525.6K
Open interest
9.2K
Liquidity
10.8K
Liquidity CLOB
10.8K
Start
Jan 3, 2026
End
Jan 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 3, 2026
Event ID
140725
Slug
cilia-flores-released-from-custody-by
Markets
3
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"title": "Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?",
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"question": "Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?",
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"tags": [
{
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"label": "Trump",
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{
"id": "246",
"label": "Venezuela",
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Cilia Flores, wife of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and a key figure in his administration, remains in pretrial detention at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center following her January 3, 2026, arrest by U.S. forces on federal narco-trafficking charges tied to the \"Cartel of the Suns\" conspiracy. At a March 26 federal court hearing before Judge Alvin Hellerstein in Manhattan, the judge denied a defense motion to dismiss the case and is reviewing whether sanctioned Venezuelan funds can cover legal costs, amid arguments over head-of-state immunity and arrest legality. Traders reflect low release odds—such as 6% for December 31 and 0% for January 9—due to her central role in the indictment, flight risk designation, and historical pretrial holds for similar high-profile defendants, with upcoming hearings on bail or trial scheduling poised to influence outcomes.",
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