
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
cilia-flores-released-from-custody-by
Volume
1.2M
24h volume
293
1w volume
525.4K
Open interest
9.3K
Liquidity
8.4K
Liquidity CLOB
8.4K
Start
Jan 3, 2026
End
Jan 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 3, 2026
Event ID
140725
Slug
cilia-flores-released-from-custody-by
Markets
3
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"label": "Trump",
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"label": "Venezuela",
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"context_description": "Cilia Flores, wife of former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and a National Assembly deputy, remains in pretrial detention at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center following her January 3, 2026 capture by U.S. special forces in Caracas alongside Maduro. They face federal narco-terrorism, drug trafficking conspiracy, and weapons charges in Manhattan's Southern District court, having pleaded not guilty at their January 5 arraignment. A March 26 hearing rejected defense motions to dismiss over U.S. sanctions blocking legal funds, with OFAC issuing a limited license April 1. Venezuelan officials demand her release as a sovereignty violation amid ongoing protests, while unverified reports suggest possible cooperation talks; trial scheduling and diplomatic interventions remain pivotal uncertainties.",
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