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DeepSeek V4 released by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public. The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
deepseek-v4-released-by-march-31
Volume
1.0M
24h volume
12.8K
1w volume
181.7K
Open interest
101.2K
Liquidity
65.1K
Liquidity CLOB
65.1K
Start
Jan 13, 2026
End
Apr 15, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 13, 2026
Event ID
160425
Slug
deepseek-v4-released-by-march-31
Markets
9
Raw event data
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"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public by March 21, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nIntermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.\n\nThe \"next DeepSeek V model\" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.\n\nOnly releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., \"V4-Lite,\" \"V4-Mini\"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., \"V4-Exp,\" \"V4-Preview\"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.\n\nFor this market to resolve to \"Yes,\" the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.\n\nIf a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.",
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}- DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?Vol 12.4KLiq 9.5KEnd May 15, 2026OpenOrder book
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?Vol 16.3KLiq 36.7KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?Vol 146.7KLiq 7.5KEnd Apr 15, 2026OpenOrder book
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 7?Vol 21.6KLiq 11.1KEnd Apr 7, 2026OpenOrder book
- DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Vol 620.4KLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
- DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?Vol 186.1KLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
- DeepSeek V4 released by January 31?Vol 9.5KLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
- DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Vol —Liq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
- DeepSeek V4 released by March 21?Vol —Liq —End Mar 21, 2026Closed