
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ticker
elon-musk-of-tweets-april-2026
Volume
5.2M
24h volume
329.4K
1w volume
451.7K
Open interest
36.0K
Liquidity
654.2K
Liquidity CLOB
654.2K
Start
Feb 24, 2026
End
May 1, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 24, 2026
Resolution source
https://x.com/elonmusk
Event ID
226988
Slug
elon-musk-of-tweets-april-2026
Markets
66
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets in April 2026?",
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"resolutionSource": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
"endDate": "2026-05-01T04:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "0",
"startDate": "2026-02-24T05:07:51.30868Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets in April 2026?",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 1,320-1,399 posts for Elon Musk's April 2026 X activity, directly extrapolating from his confirmed March total of 1,320-1,359—a ~43 posts/day pace sustained amid Tesla updates and political commentary. Early April momentum includes a 77-post spike on April 1, 22 on April 2, and ~64 across April 4-6 (~21/day average), but no major catalysts like product launches or controversies have emerged in the past week to decisively shift volume, fostering the neck-and-neck top bins. Key swing factors remain Musk's responsiveness to viral news cycles, SpaceX milestones, or X platform tweaks, with daily trackers pivotal as the month progresses toward April 30 resolution.",
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