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Elon Musk # tweets April 4 - April 6, 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ticker
elon-musk-of-tweets-april-4-april-6
Volume
2.3M
24h volume
1.1M
1w volume
2.3M
Open interest
397.5K
Liquidity
131.6K
Liquidity CLOB
131.6K
Start
Apr 2, 2026
End
Apr 6, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 2, 2026
Resolution source
https://x.com/elonmusk
Event ID
336418
Slug
elon-musk-of-tweets-april-4-april-6
Markets
10
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 65-89 posts by Elon Musk from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6 12:00 PM ET at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by real-time trackers confirming a steady tally in the mid-70s as the window closed without a late surge. Musk's consistent cadence—averaging 25-30 qualifying main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily on viral topics like Tesla FSD safety feats, cultural critiques, and Easter greetings—built unshakeable momentum, amplified by his 238 million followers' engagement. Excluding most replies per resolution rules further stabilized the count. An upset to 90-114 would demand an improbable 15+ extra posts in final hours, absent any controversy or event catalyst, rendering it negligible at 0.1%.",
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}- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?Vol 276.5KLiq —End Apr 6, 2026Closed
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?Vol 432.8KLiq 131.6KEnd Apr 6, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?Vol 437.1KLiq —End Apr 6, 2026Closed
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?Vol 407.2KLiq —End Apr 6, 2026Closed
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?Vol 317.0KLiq —End Apr 6, 2026Closed
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?Vol 144.8KLiq —End Apr 6, 2026Closed
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?Vol 92.4KLiq —End Apr 6, 2026Closed
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?Vol 88.5KLiq 0End Apr 6, 2026Closed
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?Vol 81.3KLiq —End Apr 6, 2026Closed
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?Vol 69.4KLiq 0End Apr 6, 2026Closed