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Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ticker
elon-musk-of-tweets-march-31-april-7
Volume
11.0M
24h volume
1.6M
1w volume
4.7M
Open interest
933.0K
Liquidity
1.6M
Liquidity CLOB
1.6M
Start
Mar 28, 2026
End
Apr 7, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 28, 2026
Resolution source
https://x.com/elonmusk
Event ID
316317
Slug
elon-musk-of-tweets-march-31-april-7
Markets
30
Raw event data
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"title": "Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?",
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"question": "Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?",
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"endDate": "2026-04-07T16:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "151380.7418",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",
"volume": "196721.01353200004",
"active": true,
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"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-28T04:00:05.344128Z",
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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"groupItemTitle": "540-559",
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"questionID": "0x782f2aa744c1501d1063806babec92b260d4f40983b7ebb4a2286a941f70721b",
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"endDateIso": "2026-04-07",
"startDateIso": "2026-03-28",
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"gameStartTime": "2026-03-31 16:00:00+00",
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"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "2",
"volumeClob": 196721.01353200004,
"liquidityClob": 151380.7418,
"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
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"negRiskMarketID": "0x782f2aa744c1501d1063806babec92b260d4f40983b7ebb4a2286a941f707200",
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"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-28T04:08:51Z",
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"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
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"pendingDeployment": false,
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"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-28T04:02:53.032992Z",
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"feeSchedule": {
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{
"id": "1752834",
"question": "Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x1bf5a425785aa6a5ea6fe152b6e1a4136817f0fc60db20e37421fa2909895a79",
"slug": "elon-musk-of-tweets-march-31-april-7-560-579",
"resolutionSource": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
"endDate": "2026-04-07T16:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "120087.47693",
"startDate": "2026-03-28T04:10:22.501854Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",
"volume": "95365.29449700001",
"active": true,
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"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-03-28T04:00:05.454148Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T22:45:22.232699Z",
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"endDateIso": "2026-04-07",
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"gameStartTime": "2026-03-31 16:00:00+00",
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"umaReward": "2",
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
"takerBaseFee": 1000,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
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"negRiskMarketID": "0x782f2aa744c1501d1063806babec92b260d4f40983b7ebb4a2286a941f707200",
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"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-03-28T04:09:01Z",
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"automaticallyActive": true,
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"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-28T04:02:53.034549Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
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}
],
"series": [
{
"id": "10000",
"ticker": "elon-tweets",
"slug": "elon-tweets",
"title": "Elon Tweets",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "weekly",
"image": "https://cdn.britannica.com/05/236505-050-17B6E34A/Elon-Musk-2022.jpg",
"icon": "https://cdn.britannica.com/05/236505-050-17B6E34A/Elon-Musk-2022.jpg",
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"publishedAt": "2024-06-14 18:57:17.756574+00",
"createdAt": "2024-06-14T18:57:17.756574Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T22:46:39.060226Z",
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"startDate": "2024-06-14T18:57:17.756574Z",
"commentCount": 63394,
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],
"tags": [
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"label": "Culture",
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"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-29 18:40:13.013+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-29T18:40:14.63Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:06.806106Z",
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"slug": "politics",
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"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
"forceHide": true,
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{
"id": "972",
"label": "Tweet Markets",
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"publishedAt": "2024-02-06 19:19:25.344+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-06T19:19:25.37Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:18.711987Z",
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"createdAt": "2026-03-17T16:20:03.489328Z",
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"label": "Rewards Automations 200 4.5 50",
"slug": "rewards-automations-200",
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"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"startTime": "2026-03-31T16:00:00Z",
"seriesSlug": "elon-tweets",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"tweetCount": 161,
"pendingDeployment": false,
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"deployingTimestamp": "2026-03-28T04:00:26.095367Z",
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 260-279 Elon Musk X posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026, as the clear frontrunner at 59.5% implied probability, driven by real-time XTracker data logging 243 posts through late April 6—a steady daily average of 35 amid his characteristically volatile cadence, with recent days hitting 33 posts each on April 4-6 after an erratic start featuring highs like 74 on April 2-3 and lows of 8. The prior week's resolved 220-239 total underscores occasional dips, but sustained 30+ daily activity amid ongoing SpaceX buzz and political commentary fuels expectations for 20-35 more posts before the April 7 noon ET close, with 280-299 trailing at 26.5% on potential late surge risks. Markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on his pop culture dominance and unpredictable posting tied to viral moments.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T22:46:42.710Z"
}
}- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Vol 354.1KLiq 29.7KEnd Apr 7, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Vol 623.6KLiq —End Apr 7, 2026Closed
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Vol 421.3KLiq —End Apr 7, 2026Closed
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- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Vol 187.4KLiq —End Apr 7, 2026Closed
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Vol 158.3KLiq —End Apr 7, 2026Closed
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Vol 120.2KLiq —End Apr 7, 2026Closed
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Vol 120.0KLiq —End Apr 7, 2026Closed
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Vol 105.7KLiq —End Apr 7, 2026Closed
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?Vol 68.7KLiq —End Apr 7, 2026Closed