Loading event…
Overview
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Ticker
fed-decision-in-april
Volume
83.2M
24h volume
3.6M
1w volume
24.3M
Open interest
9.2M
Liquidity
4.4M
Liquidity CLOB
4.4M
Start
Nov 13, 2025
End
Apr 29, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 13, 2025
Event ID
75478
Slug
fed-decision-in-april
Markets
4
Raw event data
{
"id": "75478",
"ticker": "fed-decision-in-april",
"slug": "fed-decision-in-april",
"title": "Fed decision in April?",
"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-11-13T00:40:50.267805Z",
"creationDate": "2025-11-13T00:40:50.267799Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-29T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": true,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 4366073.66816,
"volume": 83205946.00769699,
"openInterest": 9172083.921350999,
"createdAt": "2025-11-07T16:55:39.270105Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-15T02:06:04.293878Z",
"competitive": 0.8086151475045429,
"volume24hr": 3598065.4653530004,
"volume1wk": 24295663.049657002,
"volume1mo": 75834958.96631983,
"volume1yr": 83205946.00769663,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 4366073.66816,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xec7bbee74fbfb5eea9f853295f793575a4e5e7bad06501ba880c423d6497b100",
"commentCount": 7,
"markets": [
{
"id": "669660",
"question": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?",
"conditionId": "0xd72622d154dfe65b9c019d6afcfe75a55717e5c502db611f555b101aafbf6ec5",
"slug": "will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-april-2026-meeting",
"endDate": "2026-04-29T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "1749956.66984",
"startDate": "2025-11-13T00:40:37.279833Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png",
"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0035\", \"0.9965\"]",
"volume": "28721806.35957097",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-11-07T16:55:40.993184Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-15T02:04:11.259821Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "50+ bps decrease",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xec7bbee74fbfb5eea9f853295f793575a4e5e7bad06501ba880c423d6497b100",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 28721806.35957097,
"liquidityNum": 1749956.66984,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"startDateIso": "2025-11-13",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 998591.6609160007,
"volume1wk": 8544587.023484984,
"volume1mo": 26592673.890585754,
"volume1yr": 28721806.359570485,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"18690049947242812495755151360212639738977254879109748949267393375856311641700\", \"44217754360633979680316989769899520588351517398269898942558308875588541304698\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 998591.6609160007,
"volume1wkClob": 8544587.023484984,
"volume1moClob": 26592673.890585754,
"volume1yrClob": 28721806.359570485,
"volumeClob": 28721806.35957097,
"liquidityClob": 1749956.66984,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xec7bbee74fbfb5eea9f853295f793575a4e5e7bad06501ba880c423d6497b100",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xb907d5b8fe2b9a8091ca4728ec26133a4daf9dfd397fb4ca0394bdd82c547eab",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-13T00:40:14Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8022384055993032,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.007,
"lastTradePrice": 0.004,
"bestBid": 0.003,
"bestAsk": 0.004,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T00:26:03.87812Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "669661",
"question": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?",
"conditionId": "0x0d14f5dc9fb3250ec888b1ac8d9fe9a0ce06f9d3ea60fdf138e8690622fea84c",
"slug": "will-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-april-2026-meeting",
"endDate": "2026-04-29T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "672505.01605",
"startDate": "2025-11-13T00:40:36.764725Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png",
"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0055\", \"0.9945\"]",
"volume": "17910246.987781007",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-11-07T16:55:41.704037Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-15T02:04:27.272902Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "25 bps decrease",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0xec7bbee74fbfb5eea9f853295f793575a4e5e7bad06501ba880c423d6497b101",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 17910246.987781007,
"liquidityNum": 672505.01605,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"startDateIso": "2025-11-13",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 720186.1650829997,
"volume1wk": 5206817.599284996,
"volume1mo": 16279841.91468631,
"volume1yr": 17910246.98778127,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"83479140651306794046790588004449066364152228067472874205697111967337978544729\", \"86189905157402748775272356734086074576046362545577080735663677743589826713172\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 720186.1650829997,
"volume1wkClob": 5206817.599284996,
"volume1moClob": 16279841.91468631,
"volume1yrClob": 17910246.98778127,
"volumeClob": 17910246.987781007,
"liquidityClob": 672505.01605,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xec7bbee74fbfb5eea9f853295f793575a4e5e7bad06501ba880c423d6497b100",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x73715bd07e1176188686f2fa19bfe76218a8f2b22d0d8c730b19eb9e126af503",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-13T00:40:14Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8035160254240507,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.002,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.028,
"lastTradePrice": 0.005,
"bestBid": 0.005,
"bestAsk": 0.006,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T00:26:03.880781Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "669662",
"question": "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?",
"conditionId": "0x36e8ca24d2a13435f519f15580d42b45cdbe3bc425fb39a7c2733260357af0fa",
"slug": "will-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-april-2026-meeting",
"endDate": "2026-04-29T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "770004.65597",
"startDate": "2025-11-13T00:40:36.249998Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png",
"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.9865\", \"0.0135\"]",
"volume": "17737631.215390876",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-11-07T16:55:42.399266Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-15T02:03:20.154879Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "No change",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0xec7bbee74fbfb5eea9f853295f793575a4e5e7bad06501ba880c423d6497b102",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 17737631.215390876,
"liquidityNum": 770004.65597,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"startDateIso": "2025-11-13",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 910212.7240149997,
"volume1wk": 5023938.9442210095,
"volume1mo": 16197241.047633797,
"volume1yr": 17737631.215390895,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"63586620628756015058616403521099137018911742768824051367331188904593189743777\", \"31766935524058663070405983804663917978960087327501512757848582448134393241922\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 910212.7240149997,
"volume1wkClob": 5023938.9442210095,
"volume1moClob": 16197241.047633797,
"volume1yrClob": 17737631.215390895,
"volumeClob": 17737631.215390876,
"liquidityClob": 770004.65597,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xec7bbee74fbfb5eea9f853295f793575a4e5e7bad06501ba880c423d6497b100",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xd2ad9c10a30f1a587d5c01f9ba695b296b3c8645b32202aaec6ab59fdfdfb6b0",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-13T00:40:14Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8086151475045429,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.004,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.003,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0415,
"lastTradePrice": 0.987,
"bestBid": 0.986,
"bestAsk": 0.987,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T00:26:03.884094Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "669663",
"question": "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?",
"conditionId": "0xd4d00e5bf8b960cc37c74c1ec19e41e00b0706add203ddcfbb65ad006c5c223a",
"slug": "will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-april-2026-meeting",
"endDate": "2026-04-29T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "1177444.59588",
"startDate": "2025-11-13T00:40:39.240352Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powell+glasses1.png",
"description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0055\", \"0.9945\"]",
"volume": "18836404.302095134",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-11-07T16:55:43.000223Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-15T02:03:25.330776Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "25+ bps increase",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0xec7bbee74fbfb5eea9f853295f793575a4e5e7bad06501ba880c423d6497b103",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 18836404.302095134,
"liquidityNum": 1177444.59588,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"startDateIso": "2025-11-13",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 968426.59248,
"volume1wk": 5508202.277398013,
"volume1mo": 16764593.660554972,
"volume1yr": 18836404.30209498,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"9556122149160720922715284597610520228366807023831966638741974320131898296289\", \"30695356184876659373803609107050405812738015124680927512315982415984867952338\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 968426.59248,
"volume1wkClob": 5508202.277398013,
"volume1moClob": 16764593.660554972,
"volume1yrClob": 18836404.30209498,
"volumeClob": 18836404.302095134,
"liquidityClob": 1177444.59588,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xec7bbee74fbfb5eea9f853295f793575a4e5e7bad06501ba880c423d6497b100",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x714c54f58310198baab5807348c342de73a101c3c61f3ba0535469887bab229b",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-11-13T00:40:16Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8035160254240507,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 200,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.003,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.01,
"lastTradePrice": 0.005,
"bestBid": 0.005,
"bestAsk": 0.006,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T00:26:03.886581Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"series": [
{
"id": "35",
"ticker": "fomc",
"slug": "fomc",
"title": "FOMC",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "monthly",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powel+stern.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/jerome+powel+stern.png",
"layout": "default",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"publishedAt": "2023-03-22 19:17:35.835+00",
"createdBy": "15",
"updatedBy": "15",
"createdAt": "2023-02-03T22:02:38.864Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-15T02:05:16.411272Z",
"commentsEnabled": false,
"competitive": "0",
"volume24hr": 3787482.1601050003,
"volume": 94410125.36673701,
"liquidity": 5650687.63908,
"startDate": "2021-01-01T17:00:00Z",
"commentCount": 8008,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "101800",
"label": "Economic Policy",
"slug": "economic-policy",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-02-06T18:05:50.554703Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:19:41.428248Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100328",
"label": "Economy",
"slug": "economy",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:18:21.302993Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101550",
"label": "Jerome Powell",
"slug": "jerome-powell",
"createdAt": "2024-12-18T23:06:40.410115Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:24.492193Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "159",
"label": "Fed",
"slug": "fed",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:27:18.98+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:27:18.986Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:22:21.975063Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100196",
"label": "Fed Rates",
"slug": "fed-rates",
"forceShow": true,
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:23:02.133069Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "2",
"label": "Politics",
"slug": "politics",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-10-25T18:55:50.681Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.76623Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100478",
"label": "fomc",
"slug": "fomc",
"createdAt": "2024-09-18T16:39:12.895052Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:20:21.671713Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"seriesSlug": "fomc",
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"featuredOrder": 19,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-11-13T00:11:00.340264Z",
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 98.7% implied probability of no change in the federal funds target range at the April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, holding steady at 3½-3¾ percent amid resilient economic data. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4%—driven by a 10.9% energy price spike from war-related oil shocks, extinguishing near-term rate cut expectations. Labor markets remain firm, with unemployment dipping to 4.3% and nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs. March FOMC minutes revealed some officials' openness to hikes but affirmed a baseline hold. Upside inflation risks or Treasury yield surges could prompt a 25 basis point increase, while unexpected labor softening might revive cut odds, though both remain below 1%.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-15T02:01:22.542Z"
}
}- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Vol 17.7MLiq 770.0KEnd Apr 29, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Vol 18.8MLiq 1.2MEnd Apr 29, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Vol 17.9MLiq 672.5KEnd Apr 29, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Vol 28.7MLiq 1.7MEnd Apr 29, 2026OpenOrder book