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Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: January 27–28, 2026; March 17-18, 2026; and April 28-29. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Ticker
fed-decisions-jan-apr
Volume
523.4K
24h volume
8.6K
1w volume
104.8K
Open interest
34.3K
Liquidity
110.8K
Liquidity CLOB
110.8K
Start
Dec 16, 2025
End
Apr 29, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 16, 2025
Event ID
106928
Slug
fed-decisions-jan-apr
Markets
9
Raw event data
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}- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Vol 86.2KLiq 54.7KEnd Apr 29, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Vol 22.1KLiq —End Apr 29, 2026Closed
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- Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Vol —Liq —End Apr 29, 2026Closed
- Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?Vol —Liq —End Apr 29, 2026Closed