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Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Ticker
fed-decisions-mar-jun
Volume
722.6K
24h volume
1.4K
1w volume
5.8K
Open interest
14.7K
Liquidity
98.9K
Liquidity CLOB
98.9K
Start
Jan 29, 2026
End
Jun 17, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 29, 2026
Event ID
192082
Slug
fed-decisions-mar-jun
Markets
9
Raw event data
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}- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Vol 22.8KLiq 16.5KEnd Jun 17, 2026OpenOrder book
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