
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
fed-rate-cut-by-629
Volume
1.3M
24h volume
1.8K
1w volume
240.8K
Open interest
198.3K
Liquidity
199.7K
Liquidity CLOB
199.7K
Start
Dec 16, 2025
End
Jun 17, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 16, 2025
Event ID
106884
Slug
fed-rate-cut-by-629
Markets
8
{
"id": "106884",
"ticker": "fed-rate-cut-by-629",
"slug": "fed-rate-cut-by-629",
"title": "Fed rate cut by...?",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-12-16T19:36:41.87716Z",
"creationDate": "2025-12-16T19:36:41.877154Z",
"endDate": "2026-06-17T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 199692.93675,
"volume": 1281483.538999001,
"openInterest": 198341.06938300002,
"createdAt": "2025-12-16T17:20:13.708236Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:36:43.073079Z",
"competitive": 0.9990087335841012,
"volume24hr": 1804.636339,
"volume1wk": 240810.45720399995,
"volume1mo": 1144425.1450090006,
"volume1yr": 1281483.538999001,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 199692.93675,
"negRisk": false,
"commentCount": 17,
"markets": [
{
"id": "949495",
"question": "Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?",
"conditionId": "0x4d162a40c3e3f458b0e0017485d7f9e6ead0cdd0573e38b26e0d5420525ccfa4",
"slug": "fed-rate-cut-by-june-2026-meeting",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-17T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "30219.2611",
"startDate": "2025-12-16T19:29:02.653507Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for June 2026, currently scheduled for June 16-17. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no June meeting takes place by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.1\", \"0.9\"]",
"volume": "154869.6435039999",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-16T17:20:16.802894Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:33.54595Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "June Meeting",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0x2f772a04bffebc9f44df7b6abc4059be2db3c0117ad1f96989cf27f24784b3f2",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 154869.6435039999,
"liquidityNum": 30219.2611,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-17",
"startDateIso": "2025-12-16",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 743.015596,
"volume1wk": 10539.066164999998,
"volume1mo": 108821.95907700002,
"volume1yr": 154869.64350399995,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"36209573008978970585450419316941249216001556298548579804182609641681769351835\", \"92543936057805227559878526277749911113690688310000219713571176010393727192590\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 743.015596,
"volume1wkClob": 10539.066164999998,
"volume1moClob": 108821.95907700002,
"volume1yrClob": 154869.64350399995,
"volumeClob": 154869.6435039999,
"liquidityClob": 30219.2611,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-16T19:28:41Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8620689655172414,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "92344",
"conditionId": "0x4d162a40c3e3f458b0e0017485d7f9e6ead0cdd0573e38b26e0d5420525ccfa4",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
"startDate": "2026-03-04",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.02,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.015,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.54,
"lastTradePrice": 0.09,
"bestBid": 0.09,
"bestAsk": 0.11,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-16T19:26:19.861314Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "949492",
"question": "Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?",
"conditionId": "0xc8929e80e74ae959b3ed9b9e1c5e0903ad38e02e1339462e3acf8b49bbca35a9",
"slug": "fed-rate-cut-by-january-2026-meeting-412",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-01-28T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2025-12-16T19:29:02.907095Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "588114.763678",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-16T17:20:14.84176Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:45:37.764662Z",
"closedTime": "2026-01-29 00:18:06+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "January Meeting",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xd786bdbb450840cfa5500e93d19abf7ef9f06f76e4f62785698979efb198419f",
"umaEndDate": "2026-01-29T00:18:06Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"volumeNum": 588114.763678,
"endDateIso": "2026-01-28",
"startDateIso": "2025-12-16",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume1wk": 181964.79659799993,
"volume1mo": 586034.7560540007,
"volume1yr": 588114.7636780008,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"66439975995641615935410953783289471019829231789134229693644308636878057313106\", \"17266772289710058490519412737983848532456358482508275389195033899275049722154\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume1wkClob": 181964.79659799993,
"volume1moClob": 586034.7560540007,
"volume1yrClob": 588114.7636780008,
"volumeClob": 588114.763678,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-16T19:28:41Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.008,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.017,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.1345,
"lastTradePrice": 0.005,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-16T19:26:19.863378Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "949494",
"question": "Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?",
"conditionId": "0x626d0441b078eefbe2c49047960e7a3b6b4512c235507a2528ccc0f95f2474a6",
"slug": "fed-rate-cut-by-april-2026-meeting",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-04-29T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "51728.71145",
"startDate": "2025-12-16T19:29:03.160851Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for April 2026, currently scheduled for April 28-29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no April meeting takes place by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.012\", \"0.988\"]",
"volume": "339586.81456500106",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-16T17:20:16.120656Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:05.907029Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "April Meeting",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0x9a7e64fb7938f5c4955aae7f8159fa8ed51322cf1ea67db0ce8b6e367542950a",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 339586.81456500106,
"liquidityNum": 51728.71145,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-29",
"startDateIso": "2025-12-16",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 418.695483,
"volume1wk": 34925.138107000006,
"volume1mo": 256032.65458899984,
"volume1yr": 339586.8145650003,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"103665283657652818155183704290908892828145905842320815814218026501095230008126\", \"100406850504260742244516090021080470575207819254631540914587402977371836191100\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 418.695483,
"volume1wkClob": 34925.138107000006,
"volume1moClob": 256032.65458899984,
"volume1yrClob": 339586.8145650003,
"volumeClob": 339586.81456500106,
"liquidityClob": 51728.71145,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-16T19:28:41Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.807660498294221,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "93473",
"conditionId": "0x626d0441b078eefbe2c49047960e7a3b6b4512c235507a2528ccc0f95f2474a6",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
"startDate": "2026-03-05",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0065,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.133,
"lastTradePrice": 0.013,
"bestBid": 0.011,
"bestAsk": 0.013,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-16T19:26:19.86537Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "949493",
"question": "Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?",
"conditionId": "0xe7f239d76b59c4e614f0bdb80467026da833083e38a31a27fde8e0907417ea12",
"slug": "fed-rate-cut-by-march-2026-meeting",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-03-18T00:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2025-12-16T19:29:00.614483Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for March 2026, currently scheduled for March 17-18. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no March meeting takes place by April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-12-16T17:20:15.445263Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-19T19:43:07.099946Z",
"closedTime": "2026-03-18 20:18:03+00",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "March Meeting",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0x069bf8f7b9e7d475522f20b80fe280c8d29935d022935e5ff58469292d1caed6",
"umaEndDate": "2026-03-18T20:18:03Z",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
"endDateIso": "2026-03-18",
"startDateIso": "2025-12-16",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"72902726884699850978994485999351956746728455432234001140689757304247177712068\", \"53272113497593770508259938237843428397311375602922346020189396666535895634343\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": false,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-16T19:28:39Z",
"cyom": false,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0045,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.0015,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.037,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.147,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-16T19:26:19.859431Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1439549",
"question": "Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?",
"conditionId": "0xb4022c0b2718eca7ad27195f2d48f06527fa000269d188e1d3001ff8bbc16956",
"slug": "fed-rate-cut-by-september-2026-meeting-264-382",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-17T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "19802.00572",
"startDate": "2026-02-26T00:29:25.81564Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for September 2026, currently scheduled for September 15-16. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no September meeting takes place by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.4685\", \"0.5315\"]",
"volume": "78722.16403699997",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-02-25T22:39:23.047361Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:21.215653Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "September Meeting",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0x578c0d58709a45d802f0a5bc1243761a22067f948baf7beddeb4c5b9a96193fd",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 78722.16403699997,
"liquidityNum": 19802.00572,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-17",
"startDateIso": "2026-02-26",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 288.45,
"volume1wk": 951.0265020000002,
"volume1mo": 77678.01136099998,
"volume1yr": 78722.16403699997,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"3080129411996805379742751525600597838226998464163037042731747436895624822756\", \"104196970799436373424174856831098726379541508472048183572778073240675394024086\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 288.45,
"volume1wkClob": 951.0265020000002,
"volume1moClob": 77678.01136099998,
"volume1yrClob": 78722.16403699997,
"volumeClob": 78722.16403699997,
"liquidityClob": 19802.00572,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-26T00:28:20Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9990087335841012,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.071,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.039,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0.002,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0325,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.321,
"lastTradePrice": 0.46,
"bestBid": 0.433,
"bestAsk": 0.504,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-26T00:26:03.659202Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1439536",
"question": "Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?",
"conditionId": "0x02507350fc2b81c3af36c659a805adbda9b0a81e63a27b29cb273cdd7dbc072e",
"slug": "fed-rate-cut-by-july-2026-meeting-577",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-17T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "19513.9851",
"startDate": "2026-02-26T00:29:14.24152Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2026, currently scheduled for July 28-29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.225\", \"0.775\"]",
"volume": "32008.611446999977",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-02-25T22:32:18.374823Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:21.806096Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "July Meeting",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0x957f210b69549a74d3a4779e9a31cd7099d1c55948e2f24a7c281562ab609e0d",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 32008.611446999977,
"liquidityNum": 19513.9851,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-17",
"startDateIso": "2026-02-26",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 305.027825,
"volume1wk": 9602.478353999997,
"volume1mo": 28047.77824300002,
"volume1yr": 32008.611447000025,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"55196773789328782968626753039325529600928079596441853086940968216494613088200\", \"86813581772338799167079275163378464773270471015855402021478347394070070927463\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 305.027825,
"volume1wkClob": 9602.478353999997,
"volume1moClob": 28047.77824300002,
"volume1yrClob": 32008.611447000025,
"volumeClob": 32008.611446999977,
"liquidityClob": 19513.9851,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-26T00:28:08Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9296920395119117,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.01,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.03,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.43,
"lastTradePrice": 0.23,
"bestBid": 0.22,
"bestAsk": 0.23,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-26T00:26:03.662071Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1439550",
"question": "Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?",
"conditionId": "0x4092815fea8f91e60586882d45fa2f61bfca8a36d595f47fdea9eec5d2893025",
"slug": "fed-rate-cut-by-october-2026-meeting-199-747",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-17T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "29987.35012",
"startDate": "2026-02-26T00:29:16.263921Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for October 2026, currently scheduled for October 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no October meeting takes place by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.5495\", \"0.4505\"]",
"volume": "36650.70519899999",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-02-25T22:40:06.211271Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:05.02518Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "October Meeting",
"groupItemThreshold": "6",
"questionID": "0xe69ec507b4fd82c8a6f4eebcf849bf679eca44937c5e4b5dcdf3297cca5f5168",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 36650.70519899999,
"liquidityNum": 29987.35012,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-17",
"startDateIso": "2026-02-26",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 27.884028,
"volume1wk": 595.3094869999999,
"volume1mo": 36583.774505,
"volume1yr": 36650.705199,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"44988145651657165705599548149732848615827306030030294113026805446816695818477\", \"77520157601571841058805902692716742771926816526078241374918912770703681864753\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 27.884028,
"volume1wkClob": 595.3094869999999,
"volume1moClob": 36583.774505,
"volume1yrClob": 36650.705199,
"volumeClob": 36650.70519899999,
"liquidityClob": 29987.35012,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-26T00:28:10Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9975557390503919,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.059,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.004,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.045,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.245,
"lastTradePrice": 0.58,
"bestBid": 0.52,
"bestAsk": 0.579,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-26T00:26:03.663475Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1439555",
"question": "Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?",
"conditionId": "0xc60022fe066abd6f96c375adb09f38d92c4931f09c10b805354581b4e5465e93",
"slug": "fed-rate-cut-by-december-2026-meeting",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2026-06-17T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "48707.4345",
"startDate": "2026-02-26T00:29:24.471682Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2026, currently scheduled for December 8-9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no December meeting takes place by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.625\", \"0.375\"]",
"volume": "51530.83656900006",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-02-25T22:42:04.345221Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:36:29.810593Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "December Meeting",
"groupItemThreshold": "7",
"questionID": "0xae9cb3881eab4bd31695aa252774658b0b28b7ec1cb998903345fa3cad46da5d",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 51530.83656900006,
"liquidityNum": 48707.4345,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-17",
"startDateIso": "2026-02-26",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 21.563407,
"volume1wk": 805.765401,
"volume1mo": 51199.083522,
"volume1yr": 51530.836569,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"85002355202646770038788297383084634166875614093071220064343011133051368772502\", \"55388042878106612984650771012856953294835512286392194574801105901687237873381\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 21.563407,
"volume1wkClob": 805.765401,
"volume1moClob": 51199.083522,
"volume1yrClob": 51530.836569,
"volumeClob": 51530.83656900006,
"liquidityClob": 48707.4345,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": false,
"negRiskRequestID": "",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-02-26T00:28:18Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9846153846153846,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "91129",
"conditionId": "0xc60022fe066abd6f96c375adb09f38d92c4931f09c10b805354581b4e5465e93",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
"startDate": "2026-03-02",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.015,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.01,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.245,
"lastTradePrice": 0.65,
"bestBid": 0.62,
"bestAsk": 0.63,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-02-26T00:26:03.660679Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "159",
"label": "Fed",
"slug": "fed",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:27:18.98+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:27:18.986Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:22:21.975063Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101550",
"label": "Jerome Powell",
"slug": "jerome-powell",
"createdAt": "2024-12-18T23:06:40.410115Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:24.492193Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100328",
"label": "Economy",
"slug": "economy",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2024-08-05T05:34:54.235643Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:18:21.302993Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101800",
"label": "Economic Policy",
"slug": "economic-policy",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-02-06T18:05:50.554703Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:19:41.428248Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "100196",
"label": "Fed Rates",
"slug": "fed-rates",
"forceShow": true,
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:23:02.133069Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "120",
"label": "Finance",
"slug": "finance",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:22:21.615+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:22:21.62Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:30:44.068593Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": false,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution against a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut, driven by the Committee's decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, amid February CPI inflation holding at 2.4% year-over-year and March nonfarm payrolls adding a robust 178,000 jobs with unemployment edging down to 4.3%. Chair Powell emphasized an inflation outlook in check but flagged risks from surging energy prices tied to geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict, tempering easing expectations. Markets price a high implied probability of no change at the April 28-29 FOMC, with key focus now on the March CPI release April 10 and labor data trends influencing the policy path.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T18:32:46.136Z"
}
}