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Fed rate cut by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
fed-rate-cut-by-629
Volume
1.4M
24h volume
7.0K
1w volume
262.3K
Open interest
212.5K
Liquidity
188.4K
Liquidity CLOB
188.4K
Start
Dec 16, 2025
End
Jun 17, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 16, 2025
Event ID
106884
Slug
fed-rate-cut-by-629
Markets
8
Raw event data
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}- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Vol 60.5KLiq 47.1KEnd Jun 17, 2026OpenOrder book
- Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Vol 36.9KLiq 29.7KEnd Jun 17, 2026OpenOrder book
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Vol 81.6KLiq 22.1KEnd Jun 17, 2026OpenOrder book
- Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Vol 34.3KLiq 25.8KEnd Jun 17, 2026OpenOrder book
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Vol 160.3KLiq 27.4KEnd Jun 17, 2026OpenOrder book
- Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Vol 414.6KLiq 35.8KEnd Apr 29, 2026OpenOrder book
- Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?Vol 588.1KLiq —End Jan 28, 2026Closed
- Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?Vol —Liq —End Mar 18, 2026Closed