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Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if police officers, security forces, or military personnel belonging to neither Israel nor a Palestinian entity begin an officially acknowledged police, military, peacekeeping, and/or security operation on the ground within Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify. Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border. Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify. Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by
Volume
437.2K
24h volume
2.3K
1w volume
14.7K
Open interest
15.3K
Liquidity
8.2K
Liquidity CLOB
8.2K
Start
Nov 5, 2025
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 5, 2025
Event ID
73339
Slug
foreign-intervention-in-gaza-by
Markets
3
Raw event data
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"question": "Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?",
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"title": "Foreign Intervention In Gaza",
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"context_description": "The fragile Gaza ceasefire, brokered in late 2025 under President Trump's plan, holds major operations at bay but faces sporadic Israeli airstrikes and Hamas reassertion of control in northern areas, complicating demilitarization. No foreign police, security forces, or military personnel from non-Israeli or non-Palestinian entities have entered Gaza's territory as of April 12, 2026, despite March commitments from Indonesia (1,000 troops), Kazakhstan, Morocco, and others to a US-backed International Stabilization Force training in Jordan. Funding shortfalls for the Board of Peace—chaired by Trump with members Rubio, Kushner, and Blair—have delayed phase two rollout, including reconstruction and multinational deployment eyed for May. Netanyahu's insistence on vetting foreign troops adds hurdles; donor conferences and Hamas disarmament negotiations loom as key catalysts.",
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}- Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?Vol 44.0KLiq 1.2KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?Vol 28.8KLiq 7.0KEnd Mar 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31?Vol 364.4KLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed