
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ticker
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-6-2026
Volume
674.7K
24h volume
629.7K
1w volume
674.7K
Open interest
361.6K
Liquidity
289.6K
Liquidity CLOB
289.6K
Start
Apr 2, 2026
End
Apr 6, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Apr 2, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
Event ID
335420
Slug
highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-6-2026
Markets
11
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"id": "335420",
"ticker": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-6-2026",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-6-2026",
"title": "Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"startDate": "2026-04-02T10:27:11.733072Z",
"creationDate": "2026-04-02T10:27:11.733053Z",
"endDate": "2026-04-06T12:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
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"new": false,
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"liquidity": 289627.47664,
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"openInterest": 361633.344195,
"createdAt": "2026-04-02T10:00:20.244513Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T09:05:35.266681Z",
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"commentCount": 0,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1827143",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or below on April 6?",
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"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-6-2026-7corbelow",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
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"createdAt": "2026-04-02T10:00:20.345196Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T09:04:37.340012Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-06 00:25:03+00",
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"featured": false,
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"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "7°C or below",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
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"volume24hr": 2500,
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"volume1mo": 5566.604300000001,
"volume1yr": 5566.604300000001,
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"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 2500,
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"customLiveness": 0,
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"rewardsMinSize": 50,
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"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
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"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-02T10:02:03.196648Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
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{
"id": "1827144",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 6?",
"conditionId": "0xddf21b32757dcca124d0064f69a9d8c7c8899396cad53aaf22a888b1e0f7d734",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-6-2026-8c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-06T12:00:00Z",
"startDate": "2026-04-02T10:24:02.691736Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0\", \"1\"]",
"volume": "6991.9999000000025",
"active": true,
"closed": true,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-02T10:00:20.454835Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T09:04:30.6026Z",
"closedTime": "2026-04-06 00:56:17+00",
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"featured": false,
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"resolvedBy": "0x69c47De9D4D3Dad79590d61b9e05918E03775f24",
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"umaResolutionStatus": "resolved",
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"endDateIso": "2026-04-06",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-02",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
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"volume1wk": 6991.9999000000025,
"volume1mo": 6991.9999000000025,
"volume1yr": 6991.9999000000025,
"gameStartTime": "2026-04-05 15:00:00+00",
"secondsDelay": 3,
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"makerBaseFee": 1000,
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"customLiveness": 0,
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"cyom": false,
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"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 50,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"automaticallyResolved": true,
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"bestAsk": 0.001,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[\"proposed\"]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-02T10:02:03.197945Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": true,
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{
"id": "1827145",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 6?",
"conditionId": "0x1bb68a362ffcd0c12685e70b3a779219aef251c22297bebf280b7cf459939bd4",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-6-2026-9c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-06T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "107593.26536",
"startDate": "2026-04-02T10:24:12.552231Z",
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"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-december-6-WzqtMeHg43n4.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0005\", \"0.9995\"]",
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"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-04-02T10:00:20.559002Z",
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"groupItemThreshold": "2",
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"liquidityNum": 107593.26536,
"endDateIso": "2026-04-06",
"startDateIso": "2026-04-02",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
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{
"id": "1827146",
"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 6?",
"conditionId": "0x2301fb7ad1da693bcfff09bfd37c0a55b558e3afd850777af47f100e13f929bc",
"slug": "highest-temperature-in-seoul-on-april-6-2026-10c",
"resolutionSource": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI",
"endDate": "2026-04-06T12:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "63958.8064",
"startDate": "2026-04-02T10:24:14.563516Z",
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"description": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.\n\nThis market can not resolve to \"Yes\" until all data for this date has been finalized.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
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"startDateIso": "2026-04-02",
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"approved": true,
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},
{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 6?",
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{
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 6?",
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"question": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 6?",
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{
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"context_description": "Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observational data from Incheon International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 14°C on April 6, 2026, amid widespread spring rainfall and persistent cloud cover that curtailed solar insolation and daytime heating. Real-time METAR reports and Wunderground history for RKSI station logged midday highs at approximately 13.9–14°C before northerly winds ushered in a sharp evening drop to 6–8°C under partial clearing. This aligns with KMA short-term forecasts projecting Seoul-area highs in the low teens during the cold air outbreak and rain event. Trader consensus at 99.8% reflects this robust evidence, with minimal risk of revision; only an anomalous late sensor reading or data rounding discrepancy could push toward 15°C, though model ensembles and historical analogs for such conditions deem it improbable. Final KMA daily summary expected soon.",
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