
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Ticker
how-many-7pt0-or-above-earthquakes-in-2026
Volume
1.1M
24h volume
1.8K
1w volume
39.8K
Open interest
51.3K
Liquidity
25.3K
Liquidity CLOB
25.3K
Start
Dec 31, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 31, 2025
Event ID
134977
Slug
how-many-7pt0-or-above-earthquakes-in-2026
Markets
7
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