Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner

Name: Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner
Start: 2026-03-05T21:18:16.709322Z
End: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.” If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice. Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Ticker
hungary-parliamentary-election-popular-vote-winner
Volume
412.1K
24h volume
57.1K
1w volume
247.6K
Open interest
199.9K
Liquidity
74.0K
Liquidity CLOB
74.0K
Start
Mar 5, 2026
End
Apr 12, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 5, 2026
Event ID
246787
Slug
hungary-parliamentary-election-popular-vote-winner
Markets
Tags
Politics Elections Hungary Global Elections Orban Magyar Hungary Election
Raw event data
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  "startTime": "2026-04-12T12:00:00Z",
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    "context_description": "Recent polls from independent firms like Medián and 21 Kutatóközpont, released in the past week, show Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party extending its lead over Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's governing Fidesz–KDNP coalition among decided voters, with margins of 16–23 points such as Tisza at 58% versus Fidesz at 35%. This widening gap, up from slimmer advantages in February, reflects Tisza's strong momentum among younger voters and urban areas, driving trader consensus to price Tisza as a heavy favorite for the highest popular vote share ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election. Fidesz retains support from older demographics and rural strongholds, but pro-government polls showing closer races have less sway on markets. Turnout dynamics and last-minute campaign shifts could still influence the closely watched list vote outcome under Hungary's mixed electoral system.",
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    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T19:33:37.525Z"
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