Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary in early April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Ticker
hungary-parliamentary-election-winner
Volume
57.5M
24h volume
456.4K
1w volume
7.1M
Open interest
1.9M
Liquidity
884.9K
Liquidity CLOB
884.9K
Start
Dec 16, 2025
End
Apr 12, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 16, 2025
Event ID
106614
Slug
hungary-parliamentary-election-winner
Markets
37
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"context_description": "With Hungary's parliamentary election six days away on April 12, trader consensus heavily favors Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party at 69% implied probability to win the most seats, driven by recent polls showing it widening its lead over Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP alliance. A 21 Kutatóközpont survey last week indicated Tisza ahead by 12 points with 900,000 more supporters, while Medián's late-March data placed Tisza at 58% versus Fidesz's 35% among decided voters, reflecting momentum from Magyar's anti-corruption campaign and voter fatigue after 16 years of Fidesz rule. Fidesz retains edges in rural areas, among over-65s, and diaspora voters, but Hungary's mixed system of 106 single-member districts and proportional lists amplifies Tisza's polling strength into seat projections like 101-5. Final campaigning and turnout will decide amid undecided voters.",
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