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Iran leadership change by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
iran-leadership-change-by
Volume
6.8M
24h volume
468.2K
1w volume
1.3M
Open interest
1.2M
Liquidity
320.4K
Liquidity CLOB
320.4K
Start
Mar 9, 2026
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 9, 2026
Event ID
255195
Slug
iran-leadership-change-by
Markets
6
Tags
Raw event data
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"title": "Iran leadership change by...?",
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}- Iran leadership change by December 31?Vol 1.2MLiq 114.0KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Vol 100.3KLiq 45.6KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Iran leadership change by May 31?Vol 184.2KLiq 60.0KEnd May 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Iran leadership change by April 30?Vol 2.1MLiq 102.9KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Iran leadership change by March 31?Vol 3.2MLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
- Iran leadership change by March 13?Vol —Liq —End Dec 31, 2026Closed