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Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
israel-and-indonesia-normalize-relations-by
Volume
601.2K
24h volume
398
1w volume
1.1K
Open interest
10.7K
Liquidity
18.7K
Liquidity CLOB
18.7K
Start
Nov 11, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 11, 2025
Event ID
79192
Slug
israel-and-indonesia-normalize-relations-by
Markets
2
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"title": "Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?",
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"question": "Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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{
"id": "180",
"label": "Israel",
"slug": "israel",
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:31:07.39+00",
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{
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{
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{
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:31:15.688+00",
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"updatedAt": "2026-03-20T20:00:25.631244Z",
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{
"id": "154",
"label": "Middle East",
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"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:26:20.585+00",
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"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:26:20.601Z",
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{
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"label": "Politics",
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"publishedAt": "2023-10-25 18:55:50.674+00",
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Indonesia maintains no formal diplomatic relations with Israel, conditioning normalization on the establishment of a Palestinian state amid strong domestic opposition—polls show 75-80% of Indonesians view Israel unfavorably. Recent developments, including Indonesia's February 2026 entry into a Gaza peace board alongside Israel and plans for an international stabilization force, prompted explicit Jakarta statements rejecting ties normalization and affirming support for Palestine. Prabowo Subianto's administration has navigated cautious engagement, such as humanitarian aid over Israeli airspace, but public anger over Gaza operations and Iran-Israel tensions reinforces barriers. Absent a Gaza ceasefire or policy shift, trader consensus reflects low probability before year-end 2026, with no scheduled diplomatic summits announced.",
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"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T16:49:24.431Z"
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}