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Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
israel-and-indonesia-normalize-relations-by
Volume
619.7K
24h volume
1
1w volume
309
Open interest
15.8K
Liquidity
22.9K
Liquidity CLOB
22.9K
Start
Nov 11, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 11, 2025
Event ID
79192
Slug
israel-and-indonesia-normalize-relations-by
Markets
2
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"question": "Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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{
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{
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Indonesia maintains its longstanding policy of non-recognition of Israel absent an independent Palestinian state, a position reaffirmed in February 2026 when it joined the Gaza Board of Peace alongside Israel but explicitly rejected ties normalization. Tensions escalated late March with the reported Israeli airstrike on a base killing one Indonesian peacekeeper and injuring another, prompting outrage from opposition figures like Anies Baswedan and demands for UN accountability. Amid preparations to deploy 1,000 troops to Gaza by April, strong domestic opposition—polls show 75% against normalization—combined with President Prabowo Subianto's conditional stance, leaves little momentum for diplomatic breakthrough by June 30. Trader consensus reflects these geopolitical barriers and public sentiment.",
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"context_updated_at": "2026-04-15T02:04:05.683Z"
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}