Israel military action against Gaza on...?

Name: Israel military action against Gaza on...?
Start: 2026-03-24T17:14:04.118642Z
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00Z

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

Ticker

israel-military-action-against-gaza-on

Volume

1.5M

24h volume

117.3K

1w volume

208.4K

Open interest

37.4K

Liquidity

—

Start

Mar 24, 2026

End

Apr 30, 2026

Status

Closed

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 24, 2026

Event ID

303643

Slug

israel-military-action-against-gaza-on

Markets

Tags

strike palestine Gaza hamas Middle East Israel Geopolitics

Raw event data

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      "question": "Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 29, 2026?",
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Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
Vol 727.5KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?
Vol 134.4KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?
Vol 116.1KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?
Vol 76.0KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?
Vol 63.6KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 3, 2026?
Vol 39.3KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?
Vol 210.5KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?
Vol 66.3KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 1, 2026?
Vol 29.1KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 2, 2026?
Vol 22.9KLiq —End Apr 30, 2026Closed
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 11, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 12, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 13, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 14, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 15, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 16, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 17, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 18, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 19, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 20, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 21, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 22, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 23, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 24, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 25, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 26, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 27, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 28, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 29, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 30, 2026?
Vol 0Liq 0End Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book

Overview

Ticker

israel-military-action-against-gaza-on

Volume

1.5M

24h volume

117.3K

1w volume

208.4K

Open interest

37.4K

Liquidity

—

Start

Mar 24, 2026

End

Apr 30, 2026

Status

Closed

Access

Restricted

Created

Mar 24, 2026

Event ID

303643

Slug

israel-military-action-against-gaza-on

Markets

Raw event data

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