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Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-october-31
Volume
914.7K
24h volume
511
1w volume
17.5K
Open interest
17.6K
Liquidity
3.9K
Liquidity CLOB
3.9K
Start
Sep 3, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Sep 3, 2025
Event ID
41359
Slug
israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-october-31
Markets
5
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"context_description": "Israel's Knesset has not dissolved following the March 2026 passage of the 2026 state budget, which coalition leaders prioritized to avert automatic dissolution under Israeli law and stave off snap elections. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government, holding a slim majority amid ongoing wars with Iran and Hezbollah, faces weak opinion polls showing trailing support ahead of scheduled legislative elections by November 2026. Opposition parties' recent no-confidence attempts failed due to insufficient votes, but coalition tensions persist over ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions and budget allocations. Traders monitor war escalations, potential diplomatic shifts, or internal revolts as catalysts for dissolution votes, with procedural deadlines tied to budget implementation and parliamentary sessions frequently disrupted by missile threats.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T19:33:01.230Z"
}
}