JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

Name: JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?
Start: 2026-03-24T22:10:07.100545Z
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00Z
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by
Volume
345.2K
24h volume
22.9K
1w volume
121.1K
Open interest
77.6K
Liquidity
28.9K
Liquidity CLOB
28.9K
Start
Mar 24, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 24, 2026
Event ID
304398
Slug
jd-vance-diplomatic-meeting-with-iran-by
Markets
Tags
Foreign Policy Iran Geopolitics Vance Iran Ceasefire Politics Trump
Raw event data
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    "context_description": "Vice President JD Vance has led indirect U.S. diplomatic efforts with Iran amid ongoing conflict, engaging intermediaries from Pakistan and Oman in recent ceasefire talks, including all-night discussions as recently as April 5, 2026, per Reuters reports. Iran has signaled a preference for Vance over envoys like Steve Witkoff in potential negotiations, rejecting prior Pakistan-mediated sessions, while President Trump set a looming deadline warning of escalation if the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted. No verifiable direct meeting with Iranian officials has occurred by April 6, though Trump indicated Vance could join in-person talks soon; a ceasefire proposal involving Vance and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi circulates, with resolution hinging on verifiable bilateral contact before April 30. Traders weigh these proxy advances against Iran's reticence for face-to-face diplomacy.",
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    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T19:33:37.969Z"
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