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Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be the Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Ticker
jerome-powell-out-as-fed-chair-by
Volume
1.9M
24h volume
39.6K
1w volume
80.0K
Open interest
132.5K
Liquidity
45.0K
Liquidity CLOB
45.0K
Start
Jan 4, 2026
End
May 14, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 4, 2026
Event ID
139894
Slug
jerome-powell-out-as-fed-chair-by
Markets
2
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"title": "Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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{
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"question": "Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?",
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{
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{
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{
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{
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{
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Jerome Powell remains Federal Reserve Chair as his term expires May 15, 2026, with President Trump having nominated Kevin Warsh as successor in January. A DOJ probe into Powell has stalled progress, prompting Powell's March statement that he will serve until a confirmed replacement or as interim chair pro tem. Traders focus on the Senate Banking Committee confirmation hearing for Warsh set for April 16, which could resolve the leadership transition amid historical precedent for chairs to exit at term end unless reconfirmed. No removal for cause has succeeded legally, leaving procedural hurdles and Senate dynamics as key risks.",
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