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Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
lead-bank-in-spacexs-ipo
Volume
1.3M
24h volume
30.1K
1w volume
61.4K
Open interest
84.9K
Liquidity
66.7K
Liquidity CLOB
66.7K
Start
Dec 25, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2027
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 25, 2025
Event ID
123568
Slug
lead-bank-in-spacexs-ipo-836
Markets
30
Raw event data
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"title": "Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?",
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Morgan Stanley as the frontrunner at 44% implied probability to serve as lead underwriter for SpaceX's anticipated 2026 IPO, driven by its longstanding advisory role with Elon Musk—including Tesla's 2010 IPO—and recent talks for its E*Trade unit to spearhead retail share distribution amid SpaceX's plan for an unprecedented 30% retail allocation in a $75 billion raise targeting $1.75 trillion valuation. Goldman Sachs trails at 30%, bolstered by its inclusion in the lead bookrunner group alongside Bank of America, JPMorgan, and Citigroup, confirmed in an April 6 banker meeting led by Musk. No single \"lead left\" has been designated, with banks forgoing traditional hierarchy for alphabetical listing, but Musk's requirement for Grok AI subscriptions as a deal condition underscores competitive dynamics. Watch for the late-May prospectus and June 8 roadshow for clarity on roles.",
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}- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 328.0KLiq 6.4KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 238.8KLiq 4.9KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 67.6KLiq 5.3KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 80.0KLiq 7.9KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 86.4KLiq 7.6KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 98.6KLiq 6.6KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 305.1KLiq 8.9KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 64.1KLiq 8.5KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 56.0KLiq 10.2KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will another Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank A or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank B or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank C or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank D or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank E or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank F or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank G or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank H or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank I or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank J or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank K or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank L or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank M or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank N or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank O or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank P or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank Q or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank R or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank S or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank T or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book