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Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
lead-bank-in-spacexs-ipo
Volume
1.3M
24h volume
2.0K
1w volume
65.8K
Open interest
85.9K
Liquidity
59.8K
Liquidity CLOB
59.8K
Start
Dec 25, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2027
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 25, 2025
Event ID
123568
Slug
lead-bank-in-spacexs-ipo-836
Markets
30
Raw event data
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"title": "Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?",
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"context_description": "Recent reports of SpaceX's confidential IPO filing and assembly of a 21-bank underwriting syndicate—code-named Project Apex—have traders pricing Morgan Stanley at 42.5% and Goldman Sachs at 35.5% as lead bookrunners for the potential $1.75 trillion blockbuster debut. The tight race reflects both firms' deep ties to Elon Musk's ecosystem, including prior SpaceX debt financings and tech IPO expertise, with Morgan Stanley gaining an edge via E*TRADE's retail distribution role for smaller investors. Bank of America trails at 10.9% amid its reported U.S. retail oversight, while others lag due to lesser prominence. Key differentiators include syndicate hierarchy signals from WSJ and Reuters, with SEC review and final roles as pivotal near-term catalysts amid valuation hype.",
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}- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 312.7KLiq 6.0KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 233.1KLiq 4.7KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 64.9KLiq 3.4KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 78.2KLiq 7.2KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 94.0KLiq 4.8KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 300.7KLiq 6.0KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 72.4KLiq 7.5KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 63.6KLiq 6.2KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 43.8KLiq 9.4KEnd Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will another Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank A or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank B or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank C or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank D or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank E or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank F or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank G or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank H or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank I or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank J or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank K or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank L or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank M or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank N or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank O or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank P or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank Q or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank R or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank S or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book
- Will Bank T or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Vol 0Liq 0End Dec 31, 2027OpenOrder book