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Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30
Volume
1.0M
24h volume
1.1K
1w volume
61.2K
Open interest
217.8K
Liquidity
37.2K
Liquidity CLOB
37.2K
Start
Jan 4, 2026
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 4, 2026
Event ID
143567
Slug
miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30
Markets
3
Raw event data
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"title": "Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?",
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"context_description": "Amid Cuba's deepening economic crisis marked by widespread blackouts, fuel shortages from a U.S. oil blockade, and ongoing protests since early March, President Miguel Díaz-Canel confirmed initial talks with the Trump administration on March 13, prompting speculation of leadership change. U.S. officials reportedly conditioned negotiations on his removal, but Cuban leaders categorically rejected this on March 20, with Díaz-Canel remaining in power and hosting visiting U.S. Democratic lawmakers as recently as April 6 to discuss the blockade's impacts. In Cuba's one-party system, succession is controlled by Communist Party elites and the National Assembly, showing no verified shifts despite public discontent and low-attendance regime rallies like the April 2 anti-imperialist march. Traders weigh internal stability against external pressures ahead of potential June resolution.",
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}- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Vol 103.8KLiq 17.8KEnd Dec 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Vol 475.2KLiq 19.7KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?Vol 421.3KLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed