
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
mojtaba-khamenei-leaves-iran-by
Volume
877.0K
24h volume
2.0K
1w volume
51.5K
Open interest
70.1K
Liquidity
85.1K
Liquidity CLOB
85.1K
Start
Mar 10, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 10, 2026
Event ID
259052
Slug
mojtaba-khamenei-leaves-iran-by
Markets
4
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"context_description": "Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 following his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli strikes, but has not appeared publicly since, fueling persistent rumors of severe injuries, possible evacuation to Russia for treatment, or even his death. Iranian state media has broadcast his written statements demanding war compensation and rejecting escalation, while officials and a Russian envoy confirm he remains in the country directing affairs amid fragile ceasefire talks with the US. No verified evidence supports exile claims, with his institutional role and IRGC backing anchoring trader consensus against near-term departure despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and leadership uncertainty.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-15T00:18:14.114Z"
}
}