
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
mojtaba-khamenei-leaves-iran-by
Volume
791.7K
24h volume
12.2K
1w volume
37.6K
Open interest
46.4K
Liquidity
54.5K
Liquidity CLOB
54.5K
Start
Mar 10, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 10, 2026
Event ID
259052
Slug
mojtaba-khamenei-leaves-iran-by
Markets
4
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"context_description": "Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts after his father Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli strikes on February 28, has made no verified public appearances since early March, fueling persistent rumors of severe injuries, a lost leg, or secret evacuation to Russia for treatment—claims denied by Iranian officials and a Russian envoy who confirmed his presence in Iran while avoiding publicity. Tehran released an AI-generated video on April 6 showing him in a war room, amid escalating regional conflict including Strait of Hormuz tensions and IRGC military posturing. Traders monitor for authentic sightings or diplomatic signals that could clarify his status before the market's resolution date, reflecting uncertainty in regime stability.",
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"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T17:48:32.625Z"
}
}