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Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Ticker
mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by
Volume
1.2M
24h volume
23.9K
1w volume
233.4K
Open interest
161.5K
Liquidity
47.1K
Liquidity CLOB
47.1K
Start
Mar 9, 2026
End
Apr 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 9, 2026
Event ID
257462
Slug
mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by
Markets
5
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, following U.S.-Israeli airstrikes that killed his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has made no verified public appearance since assuming the role amid escalating conflict. State media has aired archival footage and read official messages on his behalf, but unverified social media videos claiming sightings—such as one circulated around April 8—have not been confirmed by credible outlets, sustaining rumors of his incapacitation or death, including U.S. President Trump's assertions. A ceasefire announced April 7 has de-escalated hostilities, yet his continued absence drives trader skepticism. Upcoming diplomatic talks on Strait of Hormuz access and potential military developments could prompt a live address, though his historical reclusiveness weighs against it.",
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}- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Vol 122.7KLiq 23.7KEnd May 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Vol 474.9KLiq 22.4KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?Vol 615.8KLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?Vol —Liq —End Mar 13, 2026Closed
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?Vol —Liq —End Mar 16, 2026Closed