
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
Ticker
next-ceo-of-apple
Volume
668.7K
24h volume
50
1w volume
988
Open interest
9.0K
Liquidity
20.3K
Liquidity CLOB
20.3K
Start
Nov 18, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 18, 2025
Event ID
84018
Slug
next-ceo-of-apple
Markets
22
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket positions John Ternus, Apple's senior vice president of hardware engineering, as the frontrunner at 41% implied probability to succeed Tim Cook, propelled by a March 22, 2026, Bloomberg profile detailing his expanded oversight of hardware design, product quality reversals, and frequent keynote appearances in Cook's stead. Ternus's youth, internal popularity, and track record on devices driving Apple's revenue bolster his lead amid the company's 50th anniversary milestone. Sabih Khan (14%) gains from supply chain mastery as COO, Greg Joswiak (13.4%) from marketing prowess, and Craig Federighi (10.3%) from software engineering leadership, but no retirement timeline has emerged despite Cook's mid-March denial of rumors—watch for WWDC 2026 cues.",
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