
Prediction market · Polymarket
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Ticker
of-seats-won-by-tisza-in-hungary-parliamentary-election
Volume
1.4M
24h volume
14.6K
1w volume
107.4K
Open interest
63.3K
Liquidity
132.9K
Liquidity CLOB
132.9K
Start
Mar 13, 2026
End
Apr 12, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 13, 2026
Event ID
263567
Slug
of-seats-won-by-tisza-in-hungary-parliamentary-election
Markets
8
Tags
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"context_description": "With the April 12 parliamentary election six days away, trader consensus prices Tisza around 120-130 seats amid conflicting polls that highlight national vote leads for Péter Magyar's centre-right party over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz—such as Medián's 58%-35% and recent Reuters-reported widening gaps—but pro-government Nézőpont projections showing Fidesz capturing 66 of 106 single-member districts. Hungary's mixed system, blending first-past-post constituencies with 93 proportional list seats, favors strong district performers and amplifies incumbency advantages, keeping outcomes uncertain despite Tisza's polling edge among decided voters. Final debates, turnout in battleground areas, or late scandals could push Tisza toward a 133-seat constitutional majority or limit it below 110.",
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