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Price of Dozen Eggs in March?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the March data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Ticker
price-of-dozen-eggs-in-march-741
Volume
407.7K
24h volume
1.7K
1w volume
22.0K
Open interest
24.2K
Liquidity
40.1K
Liquidity CLOB
40.1K
Start
Mar 11, 2026
End
Apr 10, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 11, 2026
Event ID
261224
Slug
price-of-dozen-eggs-in-march-741
Markets
10
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 68.5% implied probability to the $2.25–2.50 price bin for the BLS national average retail price of a dozen Grade A large eggs in March 2026, reflecting sustained recovery from 2025 highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks that had driven prices to $6.23/dozen a year prior. February's BLS average fell to $2.50/dozen—down 12.5% from November 2025's $2.86—amid layer flock rebuilding and emerging oversupply, reinforced by the April 3 USDA Egg Markets Overview reporting national loose wholesale prices crashing 61% week-over-week to $0.46/dozen with a weak undertone. The $2.50–2.75 bin trails at 18.5%, buoyed by potential Easter demand drawdowns, while upside risks from spring bird flu migration remain minimal per recent containment trends; official BLS March data release expected around April 10 will resolve the market.",
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}- Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?Vol 11.5KLiq 4.0KEnd Apr 10, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–3.25 in March?Vol 3.6KLiq 3.1KEnd Apr 10, 2026OpenOrder book
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- Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–3.50 in March?Vol 46.1KLiq 2.6KEnd Apr 10, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.75–4.00 in March?Vol 27.5KLiq 2.5KEnd Apr 10, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$4.00 in March?Vol 165.0KLiq 8.9KEnd Apr 10, 2026OpenOrder book