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Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Ticker
republican-nominee-for-florida-governor
Volume
1.3M
24h volume
2.2K
1w volume
12.4K
Open interest
106.4K
Liquidity
171.4K
Liquidity CLOB
171.4K
Start
Nov 25, 2025
End
Aug 18, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 25, 2025
Event ID
90434
Slug
republican-nominee-for-florida-governor
Markets
23
Raw event data
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"slug": "republican-nominee-for-florida-governor",
"title": "Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner",
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"context_description": "U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds dominates the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary market at 87.5% implied probability, fueled by President Trump's early endorsement, a record-shattering $22 million Q1 2026 fundraising haul—over four times rivals' combined totals—and commanding poll leads of 40+ points in recent Emerson surveys. This reflects trader consensus on his frontrunner status in the open-seat race to succeed term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis, with the August 18 primary still months away. Investor James Fishback trails at 8% amid outsider appeal, while Lt. Gov. Jay Collins holds 3.8% as a DeSantis ally, though neither has dented Donalds' momentum from fresh polls and cash reserves exceeding $67 million. A crowded field of over 40 candidates underscores his consolidation of GOP establishment and MAGA support.",
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}- Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 91.0KLiq 22.2KEnd Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 314.7KLiq 47.7KEnd Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 617.5KLiq 16.5KEnd Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 171.7KLiq 17.3KEnd Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 28.3KLiq 25.2KEnd Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 23.0KLiq 22.6KEnd Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 16.7KLiq 20.6KEnd Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate B be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate D be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate F be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate H be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate J be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate L be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate N be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will another candidate be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate A be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate C be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate E be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate G be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate I be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate K be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate M be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate O be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book