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Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Ticker
republican-nominee-for-florida-governor
Volume
1.2M
24h volume
1.1K
1w volume
40.9K
Open interest
99.7K
Liquidity
170.8K
Liquidity CLOB
170.8K
Start
Nov 25, 2025
End
Aug 18, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 25, 2025
Event ID
90434
Slug
republican-nominee-for-florida-governor
Markets
23
Raw event data
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"title": "Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner",
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"context_description": "Recent Emerson College polling released four days ago shows U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds commanding 46% support in the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary—a 42-point lead over James Fishback at 4%—driving trader consensus to price him at 91% implied probability for the nomination. This dominance stems from President Trump's early endorsement, Donalds' record-shattering $22.2 million first-quarter fundraising as a non-incumbent, and his proven conservative record on low taxes, border security, and school choice, appealing to the GOP base in the open race succeeding term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis. With the August 18 primary approaching, shifts could arise from DeSantis' potential endorsement elsewhere, a high-profile rival's entry, or scandals, though no major developments threaten his lead.",
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}- Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 87.4KLiq 16.9KEnd Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 304.3KLiq 48.9KEnd Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 616.5KLiq 15.6KEnd Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 170.8KLiq 16.7KEnd Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 26.9KLiq 24.9KEnd Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 21.6KLiq 25.0KEnd Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 15.3KLiq 20.7KEnd Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate B be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate D be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate F be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate H be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate J be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate L be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate N be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will another candidate be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate A be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate C be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate E be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate G be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate I be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate K be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate M be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Candidate O be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Vol 0Liq 0End Aug 18, 2026OpenOrder book