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Santa Cruz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The Santa Cruz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Ticker
santa-cruz-governor-election-winner-bolivia
Volume
787.0K
24h volume
5.9K
1w volume
50.3K
Open interest
62.6K
Liquidity
131.8K
Liquidity CLOB
131.8K
Start
Jan 20, 2026
End
Apr 19, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 20, 2026
Event ID
177009
Slug
santa-cruz-governor-election-winner-bolivia
Markets
21
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Juan Pablo Velasco holds an 80.5% implied probability as trader consensus for the Santa Cruz gubernatorial runoff on April 19, driven by his first-round plurality of around 29% on March 22 and a recent Ipsos CiesMori poll for Unitel showing him leading Otto Ritter 43.6% to 34.7% among decided voters, with 15% undecided. Velasco dominates urban centers like the capital and intermediate cities, key to turnout, while Ritter leads in rural areas; 48% of voters expect Velasco to win per the poll. Yesterday's debate emphasized fiscal autonomy proposals and job creation amid coalition fragmentation excluding third-place finisher Luis Fernando Camacho, consolidating right-leaning support toward Velasco and boosting market positioning ahead of election day.",
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}- Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?Vol 327.0KLiq 10.4KEnd Apr 19, 2026OpenOrder book
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