
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ticker
spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes
Volume
745.5K
24h volume
1.2K
1w volume
41.4K
Open interest
48.6K
Liquidity
105.1K
Liquidity CLOB
105.1K
Start
Jan 23, 2026
End
Dec 31, 2027
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 23, 2026
Event ID
183726
Slug
spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes
Markets
8
{
"id": "183726",
"ticker": "spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes",
"slug": "spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes",
"title": "SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)",
"description": "This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2028\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2026-01-23T20:43:36.763063Z",
"creationDate": "2026-01-23T20:43:36.763061Z",
"endDate": "2027-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 105050.09614,
"volume": 745452.1052759998,
"openInterest": 48606.066356,
"createdAt": "2026-01-23T18:32:31.321862Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T22:48:14.706045Z",
"competitive": 0.9979790923380155,
"volume24hr": 1156.655881,
"volume1wk": 41381.347436,
"volume1mo": 394522.3107999999,
"volume1yr": 660367.181104,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 105050.09614,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xfd2d1b5ac6b018fdcf6421eed89807711dd9dd205e345729c355888e79f79400",
"commentCount": 8,
"markets": [
{
"id": "1250808",
"question": "Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0xc8034ffc35d47f966646cd1807900b415365f759bac771e3d7d9cfce3cf2a9ea",
"slug": "will-spacexs-market-cap-be-between-1pt6t-and-1pt8t-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-224",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "12859.95156",
"startDate": "2026-01-23T20:41:47.908933Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"description": "This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2028\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.135\", \"0.865\"]",
"volume": "102457.86337400007",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-23T18:32:34.612634Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T22:47:00.801248Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "1.6T–1.8T",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0xfd2d1b5ac6b018fdcf6421eed89807711dd9dd205e345729c355888e79f79404",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 102457.86337400007,
"liquidityNum": 12859.95156,
"endDateIso": "2027-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 100,
"volume1wk": 4307.468578,
"volume1mo": 77404.82329999999,
"volume1yr": 102457.86337400001,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"87442614084312918783388636961113598693816786923475166996185201586044548013928\", \"52062420135087090660211481663008088709831089591693955454246980912047007899654\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 100,
"volume1wkClob": 4307.468578,
"volume1moClob": 77404.82329999999,
"volume1yrClob": 102457.86337400001,
"volumeClob": 102457.86337400007,
"liquidityClob": 12859.95156,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xfd2d1b5ac6b018fdcf6421eed89807711dd9dd205e345729c355888e79f79400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x3c990042e79a39ea497461cd4c85f291137d0fd3f3650ae992f0252e698a6cb5",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-23T20:41:26Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8824372917999515,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "59895",
"conditionId": "0xc8034ffc35d47f966646cd1807900b415365f759bac771e3d7d9cfce3cf2a9ea",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 2,
"startDate": "2026-01-23",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.026,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0045,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0395,
"lastTradePrice": 0.122,
"bestBid": 0.122,
"bestAsk": 0.148,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"groupItemRange": "[\"1600000000000\", \"1800000000000\"]",
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-23T18:58:53.535904Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1250811",
"question": "Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?",
"conditionId": "0x897b618a599afc4106593a796bac1a5ba29935bd1f7584536e3ae957450ab30e",
"slug": "will-spacex-not-ipo-by-december-31-2027-481-338",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "13021.80707",
"startDate": "2026-01-23T20:41:49.715062Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"description": "This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2028\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0275\", \"0.9725\"]",
"volume": "153494.977749",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-23T18:32:36.260849Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T22:47:18.202125Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "No IPO before 2028",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xfd2d1b5ac6b018fdcf6421eed89807711dd9dd205e345729c355888e79f79407",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 153494.977749,
"liquidityNum": 13021.80707,
"endDateIso": "2027-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 2.046692,
"volume1wk": 8012.84351,
"volume1mo": 106500.19841499999,
"volume1yr": 153494.97774899998,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"113800432945754295380293926190828363836068126153863735779991630559515491339511\", \"33071438578428330390640283425528340589731748073590833942321701832019865136287\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 2.046692,
"volume1wkClob": 8012.84351,
"volume1moClob": 106500.19841499999,
"volume1yrClob": 153494.97774899998,
"volumeClob": 153494.977749,
"liquidityClob": 13021.80707,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xfd2d1b5ac6b018fdcf6421eed89807711dd9dd205e345729c355888e79f79400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x7537c149b480edf8f0fd1e93dc86774682b35c1eee75d90dc9376ff0a253b4b2",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-23T20:41:28Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8174902028908497,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "59894",
"conditionId": "0x897b618a599afc4106593a796bac1a5ba29935bd1f7584536e3ae957450ab30e",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 1,
"startDate": "2026-01-23",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0015,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0135,
"lastTradePrice": 0.026,
"bestBid": 0.027,
"bestAsk": 0.028,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"groupItemRange": "[\"0\", \"1000000000000\"]",
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-23T18:58:53.539702Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1250804",
"question": "Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0xfa928bde6b984b65611fd3a9fde594ae7daafc38572121f6dcc4ac4aaba03df8",
"slug": "will-spacexs-market-cap-be-less-than-1pt0t-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-281",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "24634.42579",
"startDate": "2026-01-23T20:41:46.123273Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"description": "This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2028\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.033\", \"0.967\"]",
"volume": "51072.11852499995",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-23T18:32:32.30324Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T22:47:48.824357Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "<1.0T",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0xfd2d1b5ac6b018fdcf6421eed89807711dd9dd205e345729c355888e79f79400",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 51072.11852499995,
"liquidityNum": 24634.42579,
"endDateIso": "2027-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 880.59,
"volume1wk": 6181.829774,
"volume1mo": 24752.513278,
"volume1yr": 51072.11852500001,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"69474265591375903712897939745283446550244222532596828417175212058943879934386\", \"72712029745949235594926634202881680225953456739436321017463769657919550824637\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 880.59,
"volume1wkClob": 6181.829774,
"volume1moClob": 24752.513278,
"volume1yrClob": 51072.11852500001,
"volumeClob": 51072.11852499995,
"liquidityClob": 24634.42579,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xfd2d1b5ac6b018fdcf6421eed89807711dd9dd205e345729c355888e79f79400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x20f2a5a0f5942d23a16d52d743b1d6009e6a78d2b553301d42243b5e8ca9da3a",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-23T20:41:24Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8209580744920938,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "59897",
"conditionId": "0xfa928bde6b984b65611fd3a9fde594ae7daafc38572121f6dcc4ac4aaba03df8",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 1,
"startDate": "2026-01-23",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.006,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0145,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.042,
"lastTradePrice": 0.034,
"bestBid": 0.032,
"bestAsk": 0.034,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"groupItemRange": "[\"0\", \"1000000000000\"]",
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-23T18:58:53.530428Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1250805",
"question": "Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0x582532c6acae7f86917143c3dcfb584819a95398d3eadb26c1944764537b0e20",
"slug": "will-spacexs-market-cap-be-between-1pt0t-and-1pt2t-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-437",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "15597.62403",
"startDate": "2026-01-23T20:41:45.869786Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"description": "This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2028\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0285\", \"0.9715\"]",
"volume": "31529.11255999998",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-23T18:32:32.987572Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T22:47:45.784868Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "1.0T–1.2T",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0xfd2d1b5ac6b018fdcf6421eed89807711dd9dd205e345729c355888e79f79401",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 31529.11255999998,
"liquidityNum": 15597.62403,
"endDateIso": "2027-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"101276397800121043395353126600112196266741828942971563334359366251730429276265\", \"29902109124606134021006265465510657323726090836695044652038022314956716240509\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 31529.11255999998,
"liquidityClob": 15597.62403,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xfd2d1b5ac6b018fdcf6421eed89807711dd9dd205e345729c355888e79f79400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xb0674a55f11eb909c762dda2ae35cbe78cdf6e7572b1f73da94106e191817e56",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-23T20:41:24Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8181215560917433,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "59900",
"conditionId": "0x582532c6acae7f86917143c3dcfb584819a95398d3eadb26c1944764537b0e20",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 1,
"startDate": "2026-01-23",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0015,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.011,
"lastTradePrice": 0.029,
"bestBid": 0.028,
"bestAsk": 0.029,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"groupItemRange": "[\"1000000000000\", \"1200000000000\"]",
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-23T18:58:53.5321Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1250806",
"question": "Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0x6ad74cc331ad699ef75a043da70cad641b348b2eec5979a3dc0ff95888239c3d",
"slug": "will-spacexs-market-cap-be-between-1pt2t-and-1pt4t-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-668",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "13141.65006",
"startDate": "2026-01-23T20:41:48.163156Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"description": "This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2028\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.042\", \"0.958\"]",
"volume": "53555.81161199997",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-23T18:32:33.514125Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T22:47:29.025572Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "1.2T–1.4T",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0xfd2d1b5ac6b018fdcf6421eed89807711dd9dd205e345729c355888e79f79402",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 53555.81161199997,
"liquidityNum": 13141.65006,
"endDateIso": "2027-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"30957108063838403655330263613984038586495788832912793078181442630460097289098\", \"95719977806776853743654901425577400314778489559594137612065931482600665801049\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volumeClob": 53555.81161199997,
"liquidityClob": 13141.65006,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xfd2d1b5ac6b018fdcf6421eed89807711dd9dd205e345729c355888e79f79400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x7410c085a345045f90388ac1c2b67419097649b7a92b20f7dd009a77b3510c48",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-23T20:41:26Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8266075036122748,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "59893",
"conditionId": "0x6ad74cc331ad699ef75a043da70cad641b348b2eec5979a3dc0ff95888239c3d",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 1,
"startDate": "2026-01-23",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.012,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0095,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0065,
"lastTradePrice": 0.045,
"bestBid": 0.036,
"bestAsk": 0.048,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"groupItemRange": "[\"1200000000000\", \"1400000000000\"]",
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-23T18:58:53.533427Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1250807",
"question": "Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0x8587c25e68ea0f18372d15251bc5d6784999f44b32f6727591483b0f16b425e6",
"slug": "will-spacexs-market-cap-be-between-1pt4t-and-1pt6t-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-168",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "8332.80236",
"startDate": "2026-01-23T20:41:47.654957Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"description": "This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2028\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0785\", \"0.9215\"]",
"volume": "101501.79207999998",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-23T18:32:34.09991Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T22:47:50.065615Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "1.4T–1.6T",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0xfd2d1b5ac6b018fdcf6421eed89807711dd9dd205e345729c355888e79f79403",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 101501.79207999998,
"liquidityNum": 8332.80236,
"endDateIso": "2027-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 41,
"volume1wk": 2176.116519,
"volume1mo": 75531.95266299996,
"volume1yr": 101501.79207999997,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"56909442539497448403641046911830649931135339893315798452404999029432043942485\", \"59227914289499196582890935267274182607635846239871240266159120585115876346887\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 41,
"volume1wkClob": 2176.116519,
"volume1moClob": 75531.95266299996,
"volume1yrClob": 101501.79207999997,
"volumeClob": 101501.79207999998,
"liquidityClob": 8332.80236,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xfd2d1b5ac6b018fdcf6421eed89807711dd9dd205e345729c355888e79f79400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x26944492299a0d2f946505952bb696c0665b80f540f4709e5cdd8005db0cc077",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-23T20:41:26Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8491398955855127,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "59896",
"conditionId": "0x8587c25e68ea0f18372d15251bc5d6784999f44b32f6727591483b0f16b425e6",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 2,
"startDate": "2026-01-23",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.019,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.0295,
"lastTradePrice": 0.077,
"bestBid": 0.078,
"bestAsk": 0.079,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"groupItemRange": "[\"1400000000000\", \"1600000000000\"]",
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-23T18:58:53.534703Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1250809",
"question": "Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0xd9a7b51443dc1f1c7c679a28a334d6d2a945bd7e2f4500394494124a13222607",
"slug": "will-spacexs-market-cap-be-between-1pt8t-and-2pt0t-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-516",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "7418.4138",
"startDate": "2026-01-23T20:41:48.417283Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"description": "This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2028\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.175\", \"0.825\"]",
"volume": "83316.955064",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-23T18:32:35.1493Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T22:47:24.075281Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "1.8T–2.0T",
"groupItemThreshold": "6",
"questionID": "0xfd2d1b5ac6b018fdcf6421eed89807711dd9dd205e345729c355888e79f79405",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 83316.955064,
"liquidityNum": 7418.4138,
"endDateIso": "2027-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 55.555554,
"volume1wk": 6710.196148999999,
"volume1mo": 43653.066064,
"volume1yr": 83316.95506399995,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"21250900962984849850471337634940937457573125748250201535962802532134206441316\", \"27838372688827300362403442013081588353374053077673370291439302403196243158225\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 55.555554,
"volume1wkClob": 6710.196148999999,
"volume1moClob": 43653.066064,
"volume1yrClob": 83316.95506399995,
"volumeClob": 83316.955064,
"liquidityClob": 7418.4138,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xfd2d1b5ac6b018fdcf6421eed89807711dd9dd205e345729c355888e79f79400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x2785006d2fad323c15c3ddc7b210e368bcfe291c5dc5500d79cc21997a67b029",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-23T20:41:26Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9044657998869418,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "59899",
"conditionId": "0xd9a7b51443dc1f1c7c679a28a334d6d2a945bd7e2f4500394494124a13222607",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 5,
"startDate": "2026-01-23",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.02,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.04,
"lastTradePrice": 0.18,
"bestBid": 0.17,
"bestAsk": 0.18,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"groupItemRange": "[\"1800000000000\", \"2000000000000\"]",
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-23T18:58:53.537176Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "1250810",
"question": "Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?",
"conditionId": "0x61c020db75fac30d0b3ee73acb481e94d6aee3790828650aa9f0b50d43fedca5",
"slug": "will-spacexs-market-cap-be-greater-than-2pt0t-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-277",
"resolutionSource": "",
"endDate": "2027-12-31T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "9845.8854",
"startDate": "2026-01-23T20:41:50.741764Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-eMcPLOPUo_Il.png",
"description": "This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before 2028\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.455\", \"0.545\"]",
"volume": "168523.47431199983",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2026-01-23T18:32:35.630158Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-14T22:47:43.556893Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "2.0T+",
"groupItemThreshold": "7",
"questionID": "0xfd2d1b5ac6b018fdcf6421eed89807711dd9dd205e345729c355888e79f79406",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 168523.47431199983,
"liquidityNum": 9845.8854,
"endDateIso": "2027-12-31",
"startDateIso": "2026-01-23",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 77.463635,
"volume1wk": 13992.892906,
"volume1mo": 66679.75707999998,
"volume1yr": 168523.47431200003,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"105951347394860056474565364761862342301253888671374632647012199696135875869718\", \"13795751811519869239213937198950927458459889241833853031577017327053982913703\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 77.463635,
"volume1wkClob": 13992.892906,
"volume1moClob": 66679.75707999998,
"volume1yrClob": 168523.47431200003,
"volumeClob": 168523.47431199983,
"liquidityClob": 9845.8854,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xfd2d1b5ac6b018fdcf6421eed89807711dd9dd205e345729c355888e79f79400",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xf32ff0297ebadac1a62b1e9e335422ef3f0ae844ab80b48c5321ad6bcc8a6585",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-01-23T20:41:28Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9979790923380155,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "59898",
"conditionId": "0x61c020db75fac30d0b3ee73acb481e94d6aee3790828650aa9f0b50d43fedca5",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 5,
"startDate": "2026-01-23",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.02,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.1,
"lastTradePrice": 0.45,
"bestBid": 0.45,
"bestAsk": 0.46,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"seriesColor": "",
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"groupItemRange": "[\"2000000000000\", \"2200000000000\"]",
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-23T18:58:53.538422Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "1401",
"label": "Tech",
"slug": "tech",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-21 23:06:12.305+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-21T23:06:12.324Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:20:01.532137Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102599",
"label": "IPO",
"slug": "ipo",
"createdAt": "2025-09-17T00:03:12.42045Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:35:26.784376Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "120",
"label": "Finance",
"slug": "finance",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:22:21.615+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:22:21.62Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:30:44.068593Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "282",
"label": "Elon Musk",
"slug": "elon-musk",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:48:11.771+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:48:11.78Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:23:02.106744Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101999",
"label": "Big Tech",
"slug": "big-tech",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-26T21:46:09.386953Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:38.73488Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "74",
"label": "Science",
"slug": "science",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:16:20.623+00",
"updatedBy": 13,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:16:20.826Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.571503Z",
"forceHide": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "600",
"label": "IPOs",
"slug": "ipos",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-30 16:53:29.136+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-30T16:53:29.141Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:28:43.513025Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "1325",
"label": "Space",
"slug": "space",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-14 20:38:45.407+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-14T20:38:45.417Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:38.75615Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "63",
"label": "SpaceX",
"slug": "spacex",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:15:23.311+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:15:23.316Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:33:38.558326Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "103037",
"label": "Climate & Science",
"slug": "climate-science",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-12-30T23:31:52.33537Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:44.49474Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": false,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": false,
"estimateValue": false,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2026-01-23T18:51:35.568852Z",
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "SpaceX's confidential IPO filing on April 1, 2026, targeting a valuation exceeding $2 trillion and a potential $75 billion raise, has propelled trader consensus toward the 2.0T+ outcome at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting Starlink's surging revenue—projected at $22–24 billion in 2026—and Starship's accelerating milestones, including successful tests and the V3 prototype's first flight in early April. The February xAI merger enhances AI-driven satellite deployments, bolstering competitive positioning in reusable rockets and broadband constellations. Lower bins trail due to secondary market valuations near $1.2–1.4 trillion, with upcoming S-1 disclosures, orbital Starship demos, and regulatory reviews as key catalysts that could validate or temper mega-cap ambitions.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-14T22:34:05.017Z"
}
}