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SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ticker
spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-lowest-strikes
Volume
3.0M
24h volume
5.8K
1w volume
61.5K
Open interest
187.8K
Liquidity
210.7K
Liquidity CLOB
210.7K
Start
Dec 6, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2027
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Dec 6, 2025
Event ID
98374
Slug
spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-lowest-strikes
Markets
8
Raw event data
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"context_description": "SpaceX's confidential SEC filing for an initial public offering, reported widely this week, has propelled trader consensus to a 95.5% implied probability of a closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion, reflecting blockbuster expectations of a $40–80 billion raise at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation. This surge stems from Starship's accelerating development—next flight in 4–6 weeks—and Starlink's global direct-to-cell expansion, bolstering reusable rocket cadence and orbital payload dominance amid cash-flow positivity from recent private rounds. Regulatory review and roadshow milestones point to a possible June–July 2026 listing, though challenges like SEC delays, volatile equity markets, or Starship test setbacks could temper the valuation or postpone the IPO beyond early trader timelines.",
"context_requires_regen": false,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-05T20:32:12.061Z"
}
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