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Prediction market · Polymarket
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12.
Ticker
spacex-starship-flight-test-12
Volume
1.5M
24h volume
3.6K
1w volume
81.7K
Open interest
82.2K
Liquidity
31.2K
Liquidity CLOB
31.2K
Start
Oct 17, 2025
End
Jan 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Oct 17, 2025
Event ID
61056
Slug
spacex-starship-flight-test-12
Markets
12
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"title": "SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12",
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"description": "If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.\n\nAny subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.",
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"question": "Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Starship upper stage for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market pertains to the twelfth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the twelfth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the twelfth launch, and this market will stay open until the twelfth launch has occurred. If the twelfth launch has not occurred by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nA splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.",
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