
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by
Volume
24.7M
24h volume
2.7M
1w volume
9.2M
Open interest
3.9M
Liquidity
533.9K
Liquidity CLOB
533.9K
Start
Feb 28, 2026
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 28, 2026
Event ID
236992
Slug
trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-by
Markets
11
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"context_description": "President Trump has signaled the Iran conflict is nearing conclusion amid a U.S.-led port blockade of Iranian coastal areas enforced since April 13 to uphold ceasefire terms, following joint U.S.-Israel airstrikes that began late February and decimated much of Iran's navy, air force, and missile capabilities. In remarks as recent as yesterday, Trump described the war as \"very close to being over\" and indicated new diplomatic talks with Tehran could commence within days, while reiterating U.S. military readiness should Iran violate conditions like Strait of Hormuz access or nuclear restraint. Iran has issued warnings against the blockade but shown no major retaliation, heightening focus on potential de-escalation announcements amid ongoing negotiations and alliance pressures. Traders monitor for Trump's formal declaration ending operations, with resolution hinging on verifiable compliance.",
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