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Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Ticker
turnout-in-2025-honduran-general-election
Volume
2.2M
1w volume
12.3K
Open interest
215.3K
Liquidity
—
Start
Nov 29, 2025
End
Nov 30, 2025
Status
Closed
Access
Restricted
Created
Nov 29, 2025
Event ID
91885
Slug
turnout-in-2025-honduran-general-election
Markets
6
Raw event data
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"context_description": "The official voter turnout for Honduras' 30 November 2025 general elections reached 60.19%, with 3.926 million votes cast out of 6.52 million registered voters, as certified by the Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) following manual recounts amid fraud allegations in the razor-thin presidential race won by Nasry Asfura. Trader consensus locked in this 60-65% bracket at near-certainty due to historical precedents—averaging 61% since 1981, down from 68.58% in 2021—driven by voter disillusionment, poverty shifting priorities, institutional distrust from partisan control of electoral bodies, and logistical barriers like transport. Despite disputes and a congressional-approved full recount, no credible challenges have emerged post-Asfura's 27 January 2026 inauguration, solidifying market resolution.",
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}- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?Vol 775.2KLiq —End Nov 30, 2025Closed
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 70% and 75%?Vol 502.1KLiq —End Nov 30, 2025Closed
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?Vol 493.8KLiq —End Nov 30, 2025Closed
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?Vol 244.6KLiq —End Nov 30, 2025Closed
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 65% and 70%?Vol 79.7KLiq —End Nov 30, 2025Closed
- Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be at least 75%?Vol 63.4KLiq —End Nov 30, 2025Closed