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Prediction market · Polymarket
This is a market on predicting the date when the UK general election will be officially called.
Ticker
uk-election-called-by
Volume
740.4K
24h volume
272
1w volume
9.0K
Open interest
5.4K
Liquidity
6.1K
Liquidity CLOB
6.1K
Start
Jan 6, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2025
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 6, 2025
Event ID
16423
Slug
uk-election-called-by
Markets
4
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"title": "UK election called by...?",
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{
"id": "101319",
"label": "Starmer",
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"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Keir Starmer's Labour government, holding a large majority since the 2024 landslide, shows no signs of calling a snap general election amid projections of heavy losses in the May 7, 2026 local elections across 136 English councils—potentially over 1,000 seats to Reform UK and independents—driven by voter backlash over budget cuts, economic stagnation, and policy U-turns. Recent polls signal a \"bloodbath\" for Labour, with Starmer attacking Green vote-splitting as a risk to new workers' rights laws effective this week, while earlier 2026 petitions for an immediate poll were debated and dismissed in Parliament. These locals serve as a key bellwether for government stability, though the next general election remains scheduled no later than August 2029, absent major catalysts like a no-confidence vote.",
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}