
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
ukraine-election-called-in-2025
Volume
1.5M
24h volume
332
1w volume
56.3K
Open interest
31.8K
Liquidity
9.8K
Liquidity CLOB
9.8K
Start
Feb 14, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2025
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 14, 2025
Event ID
18558
Slug
ukraine-election-called-in-2025
Markets
3
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"title": "Ukraine election called by...?",
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"description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThis market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n",
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"context_description": "Ukraine's constitution prohibits presidential elections under martial law, extended by the Verkhovna Rada until May 4, 2026, driving trader consensus toward prolonged postponement amid the ongoing Russian invasion. In March 2026, the Central Election Commission ruled fair 2026 voting impossible without six months post-ceasefire preparation, directly countering U.S. demands under President Trump for polls as a peace precondition. President Zelenskyy reinforced this stance at the Munich Security Conference, insisting on security guarantees before any electoral announcements. Ceasefire proposals, such as for Easter holidays, and the next martial law extension vote in early May represent pivotal upcoming events that could alter probabilities if diplomatic breakthroughs occur.",
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