
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside of 2025, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
ukraine-election-held-in-2025
Volume
2.0M
24h volume
3.9K
1w volume
55.5K
Open interest
46.9K
Liquidity
25.7K
Liquidity CLOB
25.7K
Start
Feb 14, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2025
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 14, 2025
Event ID
18576
Slug
ukraine-election-held-in-2025
Markets
3
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"context_description": "Ukraine's constitution prohibits presidential and parliamentary elections during martial law, extended by the Verkhovna Rada until May 4, 2026, amid the ongoing Russian invasion. In March 2026, Central Election Commission deputy Serhiy Dubovyk stated fair votes are impossible until at least six months after a ceasefire ends the active war phase, ruling out 2026 polls despite external pressures like from U.S. President Trump. President Zelenskyy echoed this in February, conditioning elections on security guarantees. With trilateral peace talks paused and no de-escalation signals, trader consensus reflects slim near-term odds; the next martial law extension vote in early May could signal prolonged delays.",
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