
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
us-forces-enter-iran-by
Volume
189.8M
24h volume
33.9M
1w volume
99.9M
Open interest
45.5M
Liquidity
5.5M
Liquidity CLOB
5.5M
Start
Jan 11, 2026
End
—
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 11, 2026
Event ID
158299
Slug
us-forces-enter-iran-by
Markets
9
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