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US forces enter Venezuela again by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ticker
us-forces-in-venezuela-again-by
Volume
1.3M
24h volume
50
1w volume
365.8K
Open interest
13.4K
Liquidity
16.2K
Liquidity CLOB
16.2K
Start
Jan 3, 2026
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jan 3, 2026
Event ID
140846
Slug
us-forces-in-venezuela-again-by
Markets
4
Raw event data
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"context_description": "U.S. special operations forces entered Caracas on January 3, 2026, conducting a surgical raid that captured President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores, amid escalating tensions over narcotrafficking and sanctions. This marked the first major U.S. military incursion since 2019 naval deployments, leading to Maduro's extradition to New York for trial. No subsequent U.S. troop entries have occurred, as relations stabilized under interim President Delcy Rodríguez; the U.S. reopened its Caracas embassy in late March and lifted sanctions on her this week to support oil sector cooperation. Congressional hearings on the operation and regional diplomatic talks could signal future military postures, though trader consensus reflects de-escalation.",
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}- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Vol 176.9KLiq 12.5KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- US forces in Venezuela again by March 31, 2026?Vol 4.1KLiq 3.7KEnd Jan 31, 2026OpenOrder book
- US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Vol 569.4KLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed
- US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?Vol 510.7KLiq —End Jan 31, 2026Closed