US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

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    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket prices \"No\" at 86.5% for US recognition of Reza Pahlavi as Iran's leader in 2026, driven by the absence of any official State Department or White House announcement amid ongoing US-Israeli airstrikes degrading the regime without triggering collapse. Reza Pahlavi's prominent March 28 CPAC speech urged President Trump to \"finish the job\" and reject deals with Tehran, positioning himself for a transitional role, but Trump has expressed skepticism about his leadership viability. Under new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, the regime demonstrates resilience despite war impacts, protests, and economic strain, with recent reports highlighting its survival focus and opposition disunity as key barriers to premature diplomatic recognition.",
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