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Which banks will fail by June 30?

Prediction market · Polymarket

Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework, within the listed date range: - The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions. - The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank. - A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention. - The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank. - The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer. If there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open until September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ticker

which-banks-will-fail-by-june-30

Volume

408.7K

24h volume

9.3K

1w volume

44.8K

Open interest

79.1K

Liquidity

124.8K

Liquidity CLOB

124.8K

Start

Dec 31, 2025

End

Jun 30, 2026

Status

Active

Access

Restricted

Created

Dec 31, 2025

Event ID

133436

Slug

which-banks-will-fail-by-june-30

Markets

19

Tags

Finance Economy Business

Raw event data

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  "id": "133436",
  "ticker": "which-banks-will-fail-by-june-30",
  "slug": "which-banks-will-fail-by-june-30",
  "title": "Which banks will fail by June 30?",
  "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework, within the listed date range:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open until September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
  "resolutionSource": "",
  "startDate": "2025-12-31T02:53:39.147686Z",
  "creationDate": "2025-12-31T02:53:39.147661Z",
  "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
  "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-banks-will-fail-by-june-30-rq5YDDkZgoMa.jpg",
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    {
      "id": "1067175",
      "question": "Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xff58186c67a714e7278b3878c750553a1e77d87076b4e50de0bd9d056554fad1",
      "slug": "will-jpmorgan-chase-fail-by-june-30-2026",
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      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
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      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-jpmorgan-chase-fail-by-june-30-2026-yydyR41SkCkl.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-jpmorgan-chase-fail-by-june-30-2026-yydyR41SkCkl.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.016\", \"0.984\"]",
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      "groupItemTitle": "JPMorgan Chase",
      "groupItemThreshold": "0",
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      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-31T00:03:57Z",
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      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.004,
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      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.007,
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      "automaticallyActive": true,
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      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-31T00:03:27.817942Z",
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    {
      "id": "1067176",
      "question": "Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x1f7c18f46d6a6785d516b4b3c0c138bf42ae232ff5659aaecd158d1e3d00cbcb",
      "slug": "will-hsbc-fail-by-june-30-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "10786.53024",
      "startDate": "2025-12-31T02:51:06.009333Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-hsbc-fail-by-june-30-2026-zZ02zHGOp6k3.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-hsbc-fail-by-june-30-2026-zZ02zHGOp6k3.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-30T17:35:32.151023Z",
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      "groupItemTitle": "HSBC",
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      "liquidityNum": 10786.53024,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-31",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 265.061425,
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      "volume1mo": 5706.522075,
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      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 265.061425,
      "volume1wkClob": 5351.170838,
      "volume1moClob": 5706.522075,
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      "liquidityClob": 10786.53024,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:43Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8111574710137947,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.005,
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      "oneMonthPriceChange": 0.002,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.021,
      "bestBid": 0.015,
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      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "showGmpSeries": false,
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      "pendingDeployment": false,
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      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
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    {
      "id": "1067177",
      "question": "Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xa0e9a3826b017bcab72b8cd53d6b83069b706c81d3202aa4870f0ef6b8d01371",
      "slug": "will-scotiabank-fail-by-june-30-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "8183.08505",
      "startDate": "2025-12-31T02:51:05.755053Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-scotiabank-fail-by-june-30-2026-YwsXpNUnQhHJ.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-scotiabank-fail-by-june-30-2026-YwsXpNUnQhHJ.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0145\", \"0.9855\"]",
      "volume": "46721.15686800002",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-30T17:35:32.925268Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-14T06:12:38.590107Z",
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      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "Scotiabank",
      "groupItemThreshold": "2",
      "questionID": "0xb35ce8d4dfd8023fe125ed52b2003a117552f3827e4cb25595540486d86d54ed",
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      "volumeNum": 46721.15686800002,
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      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-31",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 912.92,
      "volume1wk": 13492.539530999999,
      "volume1mo": 29517.435675,
      "volume1yr": 46721.15686800001,
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      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 912.92,
      "volume1wkClob": 13492.539530999999,
      "volume1moClob": 29517.435675,
      "volume1yrClob": 46721.15686800001,
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      "liquidityClob": 8183.08505,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:43Z",
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      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
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    },
    {
      "id": "1067178",
      "question": "Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xadca1b911ad128c1940868572fa47f3810673bb058234504671a5c46c910ea53",
      "slug": "will-bnp-paribas-fail-by-june-30-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "10613.8129",
      "startDate": "2025-12-31T02:51:03.323288Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bnp-paribas-fail-by-june-30-2026-LofhnoQti1na.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bnp-paribas-fail-by-june-30-2026-LofhnoQti1na.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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    {
      "id": "1067179",
      "question": "Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x8b2d2cdbda04bea88bb689424d8e070f650e239d11efc82a3ea76e6c074fbca8",
      "slug": "will-ubs-fail-by-june-30-2026",
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      "startDate": "2025-12-31T02:51:03.578532Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-ubs-fail-by-june-30-2026-_o4GGtfmVkUL.png",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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      "clobRewards": [
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      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
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    {
      "id": "1067180",
      "question": "Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x12087e67285645f9a92900b268ac96e95c394cc5490ab5a27b1a7b9aac1fc033",
      "slug": "will-deutsche-bank-fail-by-june-30-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "15280.68749",
      "startDate": "2025-12-31T02:51:05.50178Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deutsche-bank-fail-by-june-30-2026-Qbs9fgV0zgPr.jpg",
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      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0165\", \"0.9835\"]",
      "volume": "152978.47417500007",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-30T17:35:35.202409Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-14T06:12:32.136389Z",
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      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "Deutsche Bank",
      "groupItemThreshold": "5",
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      "enableOrderBook": true,
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      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 152978.47417500007,
      "liquidityNum": 15280.68749,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-31",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 220.56690799999998,
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      "volume1mo": 72990.83097000002,
      "volume1yr": 152978.47417499998,
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      "umaBond": "500",
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      "customLiveness": 0,
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    {
      "id": "1067181",
      "question": "Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x689999ea13cf438a0a042a6aa3e4d62a438e09d018b375a67694dd6ad2ca08ec",
      "slug": "will-citigroup-fail-by-june-30-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "13830.86108",
      "startDate": "2025-12-31T02:51:07.164384Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-citigroup-fail-by-june-30-2026-XKf5rCgbAO3z.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-citigroup-fail-by-june-30-2026-XKf5rCgbAO3z.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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      "volume": "9144.222084",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
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      "groupItemTitle": "Citigroup",
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      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-31",
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      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
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      "negRiskRequestID": "",
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      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:45Z",
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    {
      "id": "1067182",
      "question": "Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x3ff31d74cdc64db8bac526592434f63f7d924a40d10c1476033f4e7c97c65dad",
      "slug": "will-goldman-sachs-fail-by-june-30-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "15425.29638",
      "startDate": "2025-12-31T02:51:05.247884Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-goldman-sachs-fail-by-june-30-2026-AwKSTTAy-pyA.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-goldman-sachs-fail-by-june-30-2026-AwKSTTAy-pyA.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.017\", \"0.983\"]",
      "volume": "19678.526615000017",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2025-12-30T17:35:36.688791Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-14T06:12:59.018131Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "Goldman Sachs",
      "groupItemThreshold": "7",
      "questionID": "0x698b63091fc964b47baf0a62dae6fea6faf033518e4fdbb99cc31f8c0c9c6c88",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 19678.526615000017,
      "liquidityNum": 15425.29638,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2025-12-31",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 218.478942,
      "volume1wk": 529.740845,
      "volume1mo": 1991.9132849999996,
      "volume1yr": 19678.526615000006,
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      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 218.478942,
      "volume1wkClob": 529.740845,
      "volume1moClob": 1991.9132849999996,
      "volume1yrClob": 19678.526615000006,
      "volumeClob": 19678.526615000017,
      "liquidityClob": 15425.29638,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:43Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.810839957220084,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 20,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
      "spread": 0.004,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.0015,
      "oneHourPriceChange": 0.002,
      "oneWeekPriceChange": 0.003,
      "oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0075,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.018,
      "bestBid": 0.015,
      "bestAsk": 0.019,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2025-12-31T02:50:09.739092Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1918828",
      "question": "Will Lloyds fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x6d86cb79c0e14eff33900b5b2be1dbf49f6a1f0e60158e8d0ea399041569257c",
      "slug": "will-lloyds-fail-by-june-30-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "610.04635",
      "startDate": "2026-04-08T23:13:05.847258Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-lloyds-fail-by-june-30-2026-h_z0aLLXTZyA.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-lloyds-fail-by-june-30-2026-h_z0aLLXTZyA.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0215\", \"0.9785\"]",
      "volume": "24.023173",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-08T15:01:41.084031Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-14T06:11:21.313992Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "Lloyds",
      "groupItemThreshold": "16",
      "questionID": "0xdb14fbca84c23ca307929e414288f87254c48cca907fe56f0da0a831c514bd10",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 24.023173,
      "liquidityNum": 610.04635,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 20,
      "volume1wk": 24.023173,
      "volume1mo": 24.023173,
      "volume1yr": 24.023173,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"78657382907921732644813159079963330541778214451200084058875179167909216471581\", \"66991128331686708330364935199650400575967733201591617333517052607680405561641\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 20,
      "volume1wkClob": 24.023173,
      "volume1moClob": 24.023173,
      "volume1yrClob": 24.023173,
      "volumeClob": 24.023173,
      "liquidityClob": 610.04635,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:12:01Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8136946435905578,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.017,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.033,
      "bestBid": 0.013,
      "bestAsk": 0.03,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:10:39.528432Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1918836",
      "question": "Will BMO fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x33d076c2fc3c9895013385077e36014f5cb18b611fb08c0486fd1efaf975258e",
      "slug": "will-bmo-fail-by-june-30-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "146.37198",
      "startDate": "2026-04-08T23:12:55.71139Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bmo-fail-by-june-30-2026-rcpX_VUa0H0B.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bmo-fail-by-june-30-2026-rcpX_VUa0H0B.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0165\", \"0.9835\"]",
      "volume": "16.065106999999998",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-08T15:02:16.400445Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-14T06:12:48.787504Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "BMO",
      "groupItemThreshold": "17",
      "questionID": "0xae119594cc758ffe7efee14ec1af36e7a5696e87efc172377b9b0fb2cf481518",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 16.065106999999998,
      "liquidityNum": 146.37198,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 16.065106999999998,
      "volume1wk": 16.065106999999998,
      "volume1mo": 16.065106999999998,
      "volume1yr": 16.065106999999998,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"97314366565029130707042156950157282951094031153597084609336162660844669049902\", \"22503632487748854342350769276821753166335735027239166903364360756514728911396\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 16.065106999999998,
      "volume1wkClob": 16.065106999999998,
      "volume1moClob": 16.065106999999998,
      "volume1yrClob": 16.065106999999998,
      "volumeClob": 16.065106999999998,
      "liquidityClob": 146.37198,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:11:51Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8105223634264752,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.015,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.465,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.001,
      "bestBid": 0.009,
      "bestAsk": 0.024,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:10:40.494086Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1918827",
      "question": "Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x2c26d778228b3ee21a8c394e122798f0d60ea2f9852138abf03c279cf474277d",
      "slug": "will-santander-fail-by-june-30-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "1992.78463",
      "startDate": "2026-04-08T23:13:06.353274Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-santander-fail-by-june-30-2026-pFf3T2FkzcWB.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-santander-fail-by-june-30-2026-pFf3T2FkzcWB.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.017\", \"0.983\"]",
      "volume": "8.779692",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-08T15:01:12.677298Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-14T06:12:35.005398Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "Santander",
      "groupItemThreshold": "15",
      "questionID": "0xd27bacb0f78a0eb0a9eed01a993e47cb27ae72166e62023a1f1fcc02eae65b77",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 8.779692,
      "liquidityNum": 1992.78463,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 8.779692,
      "volume1wk": 8.779692,
      "volume1mo": 8.779692,
      "volume1yr": 8.779692,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"2216416610727375619998978601718272967025760809154729249742348176432570947685\", \"20102069636976127748055615544526206860704448536832820241614933409879044349943\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 8.779692,
      "volume1wkClob": 8.779692,
      "volume1moClob": 8.779692,
      "volume1yrClob": 8.779692,
      "volumeClob": 8.779692,
      "liquidityClob": 1992.78463,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:12:01Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.810839957220084,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.008,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.038,
      "bestBid": 0.013,
      "bestAsk": 0.021,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:10:39.527218Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1918837",
      "question": "Will KeyBank fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x3dd0d06f23adbd0c10e97bbd6e0965a1dbd150b76a1b1a8e84e3c0442d0f1507",
      "slug": "will-keybank-fail-by-june-30-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "186.56749",
      "startDate": "2026-04-08T23:12:55.964889Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-keybank-fail-by-june-30-2026-Ov4Vb0KdFIrv.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-keybank-fail-by-june-30-2026-Ov4Vb0KdFIrv.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0175\", \"0.9825\"]",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-08T15:02:41.662648Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-14T06:13:00.100528Z",
      "new": false,
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      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "KeyBank",
      "groupItemThreshold": "18",
      "questionID": "0xd7e85a8c8db2a9488585e079f1c35e3b92ecbacfd0412fd87867085724d8c0ca",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "liquidityNum": 186.56749,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"1020677131255822896220206961513213820908592453329943669198148227293548333674\", \"18943872727751864896061640712294235213530723161130983335227557283469989154032\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "liquidityClob": 186.56749,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:11:51Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8111574710137947,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
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      "bestBid": 0.013,
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      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:10:39.519016Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
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    },
    {
      "id": "1918774",
      "question": "Will Morgan Stanley fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xb2b56a5cdf792961ec7f122b8518195f0ad0569a305d7ec3aeda40c500e0e329",
      "slug": "will-morgan-stanley-fail-by-june-30-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "1631.60814",
      "startDate": "2026-04-08T23:13:01.699723Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-morgan-stanley-fail-by-june-30-2026-z-nQXVZT0fSN.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-morgan-stanley-fail-by-june-30-2026-z-nQXVZT0fSN.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.019\", \"0.981\"]",
      "volume": "232.10119999999998",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-08T14:51:16.178553Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-14T06:12:26.177359Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "Morgan Stanley",
      "groupItemThreshold": "8",
      "questionID": "0x6b5103a2a86f0c76b6b8f617ac4a970f746fc64079f8d12f69051c3715e6d123",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 232.10119999999998,
      "liquidityNum": 1631.60814,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 192.10119999999998,
      "volume1wk": 232.1012,
      "volume1mo": 232.1012,
      "volume1yr": 232.1012,
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      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 192.10119999999998,
      "volume1wkClob": 232.1012,
      "volume1moClob": 232.1012,
      "volume1yrClob": 232.1012,
      "volumeClob": 232.10119999999998,
      "liquidityClob": 1631.60814,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:11:57Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8121095275877667,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.012,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0045,
      "oneHourPriceChange": 0.0015,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.025,
      "bestBid": 0.013,
      "bestAsk": 0.025,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:10:39.523672Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1918793",
      "question": "Will Wells Fargo fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xf81c6023ad56ba761ddd12cb0cc4b31d99ce3d0955bb59a15269752dfae49715",
      "slug": "will-wells-fargo-fail-by-june-30-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "1580.94624",
      "startDate": "2026-04-08T23:13:06.100312Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-wells-fargo-fail-by-june-30-2026-a_-ozOouS6Cp.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-wells-fargo-fail-by-june-30-2026-a_-ozOouS6Cp.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0175\", \"0.9825\"]",
      "volume": "153.32429700000003",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-08T14:53:29.283799Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-14T06:13:07.72227Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "Wells Fargo",
      "groupItemThreshold": "10",
      "questionID": "0x8c725c0935bf01a38509e51e147effb4df67d10fda6357c806fc1059acb34fbe",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 153.32429700000003,
      "liquidityNum": 1580.94624,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 46.464544,
      "volume1wk": 153.32429700000003,
      "volume1mo": 153.32429700000003,
      "volume1yr": 153.32429700000003,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"96085860739884467579225529489083320195934875122987269042772293626342923450478\", \"66685049063080472124125998669731068362066357707294839399484000664610397273212\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 46.464544,
      "volume1wkClob": 153.32429700000003,
      "volume1moClob": 153.32429700000003,
      "volume1yrClob": 153.32429700000003,
      "volumeClob": 153.32429700000003,
      "liquidityClob": 1580.94624,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:12:01Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8111574710137947,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.009,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.264,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.022,
      "bestBid": 0.013,
      "bestAsk": 0.022,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:10:39.521352Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1918804",
      "question": "Will RBC fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x2d24ef41d4d3e50f40a7d6af1575cee08b833f0719f802126f4c1067b1530d69",
      "slug": "will-rbc-fail-by-june-30-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "75.0377",
      "startDate": "2026-04-08T23:12:53.652789Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-rbc-fail-by-june-30-2026-OphFpwybhSVq.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-rbc-fail-by-june-30-2026-OphFpwybhSVq.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.0145\", \"0.9855\"]",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-08T14:58:46.4251Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-14T06:12:22.980001Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "RBC",
      "groupItemThreshold": "14",
      "questionID": "0x3a983f8f5abfd03265d5cf672a5d554176566fe0a95b2ec3f149006c6d316cc1",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "liquidityNum": 75.0377,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"47719113258630973758396666694049061525062762729243377828096172197338875176210\", \"101908440319980750317407709066104480069610125730314623374593527731385537493803\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "liquidityClob": 75.0377,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:11:49Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8092511978435074,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.015,
      "oneDayPriceChange": -0.0375,
      "oneHourPriceChange": -0.0005,
      "bestBid": 0.007,
      "bestAsk": 0.022,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:10:39.52482Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1918794",
      "question": "Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x20bbd3dd225798c81437b443b320a15b66c587934acd31749a1aa5170dad3971",
      "slug": "will-us-bank-fail-by-june-30-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "1248.25587",
      "startDate": "2026-04-08T23:12:59.965001Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-us-bank-fail-by-june-30-2026-z8Bbfr5z2dJ4.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-us-bank-fail-by-june-30-2026-z8Bbfr5z2dJ4.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.1535\", \"0.8465\"]",
      "volume": "90.408162",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-08T14:55:24.082205Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-14T06:11:34.214683Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "US Bank",
      "groupItemThreshold": "11",
      "questionID": "0xa52ad0aebae0b7c3dd5991d18870cdd085f1c867658ac29c89b46fe9157bdd27",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 90.408162,
      "liquidityNum": 1248.25587,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 40.408162,
      "volume1wk": 90.408162,
      "volume1mo": 90.408162,
      "volume1yr": 90.408162,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"74043754896101296684604322950438329788933179291977279211713396661021937465841\", \"94854316007025462239526487816329084722178769441441998951858481193742516889546\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 40.408162,
      "volume1wkClob": 90.408162,
      "volume1moClob": 90.408162,
      "volume1yrClob": 90.408162,
      "volumeClob": 90.408162,
      "liquidityClob": 1248.25587,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:11:55Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.6419286070930433,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.281,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.138,
      "oneHourPriceChange": 0.136,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.025,
      "bestBid": 0.013,
      "bestAsk": 0.294,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:10:39.526131Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1918795",
      "question": "Will Truist fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xf46b41ec86a393390da6fe6fb4348ad884e1005e876f4479cfb342ed00add48e",
      "slug": "will-truist-fail-by-june-30-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "292.39957",
      "startDate": "2026-04-08T23:13:01.954505Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-truist-fail-by-june-30-2026-BHZyyAtofh0N.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-truist-fail-by-june-30-2026-BHZyyAtofh0N.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
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      "volume": "5",
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      "volumeNum": 5,
      "liquidityNum": 292.39957,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
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      "clobRewards": [
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    {
      "id": "1918789",
      "question": "Will Bank of America fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0xf61bf07ae6fc15748bb3a675c230f0b23367b065cf612d47b0fec5f49c82541e",
      "slug": "will-bank-of-america-fail-by-june-30-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "4132.46788",
      "startDate": "2026-04-08T23:13:03.671195Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bank-of-america-fail-by-june-30-2026-cvtc-kdbHhvC6djm9.jpg",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bank-of-america-fail-by-june-30-2026-cvtc-kdbHhvC6djm9.jpg",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.045\", \"0.955\"]",
      "volume": "255.70180799999997",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-08T14:52:37.098927Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-14T06:12:43.005673Z",
      "new": false,
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      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "Bank of America",
      "groupItemThreshold": "9",
      "questionID": "0x0649cf99d4e664761159c9c0aa0ee06f074a43f435f15f9bc50c74d26ae0b78e",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 255.70180799999997,
      "liquidityNum": 4132.46788,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 44.545453,
      "volume1wk": 255.70180800000003,
      "volume1mo": 255.70180800000003,
      "volume1yr": 255.70180800000003,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"15258412090941366693951987576957043788388212000876852721061484392767028068810\", \"42531005840607189793005180744364253839107502684556974267546522367426563092287\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 44.545453,
      "volume1wkClob": 255.70180800000003,
      "volume1moClob": 255.70180800000003,
      "volume1yrClob": 255.70180800000003,
      "volumeClob": 255.70180799999997,
      "liquidityClob": 4132.46788,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
      "negRiskRequestID": "",
      "ready": false,
      "funded": false,
      "acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:11:59Z",
      "cyom": false,
      "competitive": 0.8284832542822228,
      "pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
      "approved": true,
      "rewardsMinSize": 50,
      "rewardsMaxSpread": 4.5,
      "spread": 0.064,
      "oneDayPriceChange": 0.027,
      "oneHourPriceChange": 0.0285,
      "lastTradePrice": 0.022,
      "bestBid": 0.013,
      "bestAsk": 0.077,
      "automaticallyActive": true,
      "clearBookOnStart": true,
      "seriesColor": "",
      "showGmpSeries": false,
      "showGmpOutcome": false,
      "manualActivation": false,
      "negRiskOther": false,
      "umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
      "pendingDeployment": false,
      "deploying": false,
      "deployingTimestamp": "2026-04-08T23:10:39.522387Z",
      "rfqEnabled": false,
      "holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
      "feesEnabled": false,
      "requiresTranslation": false,
      "feeType": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1918803",
      "question": "Will BNY fail by June 30, 2026?",
      "conditionId": "0x702d368fe811b88bfbd2a295bab6fcdceebbcfaada2c581a17b1f83bccdf75ec",
      "slug": "will-bny-fail-by-june-30-2026",
      "resolutionSource": "",
      "endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "liquidity": "132.44276",
      "startDate": "2026-04-08T23:12:59.711643Z",
      "image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bny-fail-by-june-30-2026-8KxuOx9ZMJIT.png",
      "icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bny-fail-by-june-30-2026-8KxuOx9ZMJIT.png",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nFor the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework:\n\n- The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the bank’s license or authorization, and such determination initiates or directly results in resolution, liquidation, wind-down, or transfer actions.\n- The listed bank enters a court-ordered liquidation, statutory resolution regime, or regulator-mandated wind-down, including the use of resolution tools such as bail-ins, forced asset transfers, or the establishment of a bridge bank.\n- A government or resolution authority intervenes in a manner that wipes out or subordinates existing equity of the listed bank and transfers effective control of the bank to the state or a designated resolution authority, with continued operations dependent on official intervention.\n- The listed bank publicly defaults on a payment obligation, including derivatives margin, repo, or physical commodity delivery, and such default is formally acknowledged by the bank’s primary regulator or resolution authority and directly results in the initiation of resolution, liquidation, license withdrawal, or regulator-mandated transfer of the bank.\n- The listed bank is subject to a compulsory merger, acquisition, or transfer of all or substantially all of its assets and liabilities ordered or directed by its primary banking regulator or resolution authority due to the bank’s financial condition or to prevent failure, regardless of whether a formal insolvency declaration or immediate equity wipeout is publicly announced at the time of transfer.\n\nIf there is a potential failure of the listed bank within this market’s date range and a qualifying regulatory or court action has occurred but has not yet been fully published by the relevant authority, this market may remain open  to allow for confirmation. If no qualifying failure is confirmed by that date, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official statements, filings, or actions by the listed bank’s primary banking regulator or resolution authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
      "outcomePrices": "[\"0.013\", \"0.987\"]",
      "volume": "5.0505",
      "active": true,
      "closed": false,
      "marketMakerAddress": "",
      "createdAt": "2026-04-08T14:57:34.945575Z",
      "updatedAt": "2026-04-14T06:12:54.283237Z",
      "new": false,
      "featured": false,
      "submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
      "archived": false,
      "resolvedBy": "0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7",
      "restricted": true,
      "groupItemTitle": "BNY",
      "groupItemThreshold": "13",
      "questionID": "0xfd2c54a8619974dd43b83d2bff346d033d252a9ba0eb644e1bee1a737f192d2c",
      "enableOrderBook": true,
      "orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
      "orderMinSize": 5,
      "volumeNum": 5.0505,
      "liquidityNum": 132.44276,
      "endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
      "startDateIso": "2026-04-08",
      "hasReviewedDates": true,
      "volume24hr": 5.0505,
      "volume1wk": 5.0505,
      "volume1mo": 5.0505,
      "volume1yr": 5.0505,
      "clobTokenIds": "[\"10940694978247527973996910557109114554893348900005550814919304068999900438686\", \"65423470766274078007358767825401265294440893965663393381046699688860246917929\"]",
      "umaBond": "500",
      "umaReward": "5",
      "volume24hrClob": 5.0505,
      "volume1wkClob": 5.0505,
      "volume1moClob": 5.0505,
      "volume1yrClob": 5.0505,
      "volumeClob": 5.0505,
      "liquidityClob": 132.44276,
      "customLiveness": 0,
      "acceptingOrders": true,
      "negRisk": false,
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      "slug": "which-banks-will-fail",
      "title": "Which banks will fail",
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  "tags": [
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      "label": "Finance",
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      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:22:21.62Z",
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      "id": "100328",
      "label": "Economy",
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      "updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:18:21.302993Z",
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      "publishedAt": "2023-11-02 21:20:37.48+00",
      "createdAt": "2023-11-02T21:20:37.488Z",
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  "eventMetadata": {
    "context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low implied probabilities for major bank failures by June 30, 2026, anchored by the orderly FDIC resolution of the sole U.S. bank closure this year—small Metropolitan Capital Bank & Trust on January 30 amid liquidity strains—coupled with robust capital levels across large institutions following February's supervisory stress test scenarios. Persistent headwinds include $306 billion in unrealized securities losses (FDIC Q1 2026), $900 billion commercial real estate debt maturities, private credit fund redemption gates at BlackRock and Morgan Stanley, and S&P 500 financials down 10% year-to-date amid elevated credit risks. Key catalysts ahead: Federal Reserve stress test results in late June, ongoing Q1 earnings disclosures on loan quality, and April nonfarm payrolls influencing rate expectations.",
    "context_requires_regen": false,
    "context_updated_at": "2026-04-14T06:05:53.263Z"
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}

Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
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Will Bank of America fail by June 30, 2026?
Vol 256Liq 4.1KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
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Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
Vol 31.0KLiq 16.5KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will BMO fail by June 30, 2026?
Vol 16Liq 146End Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Truist fail by June 30, 2026?
Vol 5Liq 292End Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
Vol 95.3KLiq 22.2KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
Vol 46.7KLiq 8.2KEnd Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will RBC fail by June 30, 2026?
Vol —Liq 75End Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book
Will BNY fail by June 30, 2026?
Vol 5Liq 132End Jun 30, 2026OpenOrder book