
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Ticker
which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june
Volume
3.0M
24h volume
28.4K
1w volume
86.2K
Open interest
108.1K
Liquidity
456.5K
Liquidity CLOB
456.5K
Start
Oct 10, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Oct 10, 2025
Event ID
57705
Slug
which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june
Markets
19
{
"id": "57705",
"ticker": "which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june",
"slug": "which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-june",
"title": "Which company has best AI model end of June?",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"resolutionSource": "",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:54:22.492043Z",
"creationDate": "2025-10-10T21:54:22.492033Z",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"liquidity": 456534.42,
"volume": 3032189.2029949995,
"openInterest": 108061.01091800001,
"sortBy": "price",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:31.272828Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:57.170193Z",
"competitive": 0.9772723108214585,
"volume24hr": 28420.025362,
"volume1wk": 86179.162369,
"volume1mo": 1629654.7352870011,
"volume1yr": 3032189.202995001,
"enableOrderBook": true,
"liquidityClob": 456534.42,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"commentCount": 61,
"markets": [
{
"id": "631139",
"question": "Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x0bd1b836a2494f80aaee62927cf01e5f6fceb19114e96fc517c6440aea4576e4",
"slug": "will-google-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "42419.6455",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:52:53.412802Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.215\", \"0.785\"]",
"volume": "321034.040179",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:32.711317Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:40.163874Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Google",
"groupItemThreshold": "0",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 321034.040179,
"liquidityNum": 42419.6455,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-10-10",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 650.759184,
"volume1wk": 3337.2900430000004,
"volume1mo": 45396.817650000005,
"volume1yr": 321034.0401790004,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"48636515238425021804591740157603774575693183581120073077366926452048719239424\", \"55343546711440719852073804567266677523610031228702521608443447223099518953270\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 650.759184,
"volume1wkClob": 3337.2900430000004,
"volume1moClob": 45396.817650000005,
"volume1yrClob": 321034.0401790004,
"volumeClob": 321034.040179,
"liquidityClob": 42419.6455,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xdaa32a59554588d5c97336f0f8d23bbff72bf15a3b85f354ce577f65115148f6",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:32Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9248768757659137,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.01,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.01,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.145,
"lastTradePrice": 0.21,
"bestBid": 0.21,
"bestAsk": 0.22,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:08.781517Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631141",
"question": "Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x734c6c32a62f8a27035a222e45fc388d59eeffe89bb31ab26054bc29bcc3eee7",
"slug": "will-openai-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "31003.7435",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:52:56.98203Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.1\", \"0.9\"]",
"volume": "121698.95145000001",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:34.212279Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:35.660854Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "OpenAI",
"groupItemThreshold": "2",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454802",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 121698.95145000001,
"liquidityNum": 31003.7435,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-10-10",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 13454.773539,
"volume1wk": 17185.946367,
"volume1mo": 65133.12895699999,
"volume1yr": 121698.95144999996,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"80866595097163743756836544235158704187050842622501590485463390368127663845144\", \"59148378005891809491211416100126897026310179790411869168117833625964267167611\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 13454.773539,
"volume1wkClob": 17185.946367,
"volume1moClob": 65133.12895699999,
"volume1yrClob": 121698.95144999996,
"volumeClob": 121698.95145000001,
"liquidityClob": 31003.7435,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x2f05bb40714eea67f23c943f7d7086b0de85e60d085a901510c93c6b0731539d",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:34Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8620689655172414,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.02,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.025,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.03,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.005,
"lastTradePrice": 0.09,
"bestBid": 0.09,
"bestAsk": 0.11,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:09.134001Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631143",
"question": "Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x9812b1740a7dc0ec0318f66577bd40305576ad43cfcd732399dc02a328035ef2",
"slug": "will-zai-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "46134.04596",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:52:55.970649Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0045\", \"0.9955\"]",
"volume": "176995.5604080004",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:35.316238Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:36.639999Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Z.ai",
"groupItemThreshold": "4",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454804",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 176995.5604080004,
"liquidityNum": 46134.04596,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-10-10",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 1050.0095000000001,
"volume1wk": 2648.2366650000004,
"volume1mo": 101586.99829200002,
"volume1yr": 176995.56040800016,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"96960854506577913637827909727393368741530508565038173215850540697056617713094\", \"31722004522905291320816261931547127152600446925032713964065945137699274246281\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 1050.0095000000001,
"volume1wkClob": 2648.2366650000004,
"volume1moClob": 101586.99829200002,
"volume1yrClob": 176995.56040800016,
"volumeClob": 176995.5604080004,
"liquidityClob": 46134.04596,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xc330f246a539fdd8e032cbe0069f22ee5bbd0a9ffebebe3faea1e4db1d0781df",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:34Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8028773518535728,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.003,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.002,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.003,
"lastTradePrice": 0.002,
"bestBid": 0.003,
"bestAsk": 0.006,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:09.499459Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631145",
"question": "Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x241ac01c5cdac5f72014a8039b6678faa26f2f93577e6aaf629600f0b5770a1d",
"slug": "will-deepseek-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "43853.5922",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:52:56.72944Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0125\", \"0.9875\"]",
"volume": "248055.88600400015",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:36.43123Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:15.010321Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "DeepSeek",
"groupItemThreshold": "6",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454806",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 248055.88600400015,
"liquidityNum": 43853.5922,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-10-10",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 4479.167259999999,
"volume1wk": 16568.742678000002,
"volume1mo": 150480.87854999988,
"volume1yr": 248055.88600399988,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"23942826724265545239855100943306228265636526541602114626454565513823279946762\", \"82117636574018306455578610254285410841757715412093367218436522339054416752266\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 4479.167259999999,
"volume1wkClob": 16568.742678000002,
"volume1moClob": 150480.87854999988,
"volume1yrClob": 248055.88600399988,
"volumeClob": 248055.88600400015,
"liquidityClob": 43853.5922,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x3eed390cc6818de4ee57a3432392ae1746cf77f58b2808b7fbb47f441020f7a0",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:34Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8079787905567479,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0235,
"lastTradePrice": 0.013,
"bestBid": 0.012,
"bestAsk": 0.013,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:09.740573Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631147",
"question": "Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xb5bc0c62cc121183fab3645197b346b474396f52cd67622ca1010a541b955411",
"slug": "will-mistral-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "48397.51373",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:52:57.99221Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.003\", \"0.997\"]",
"volume": "297428.8576669999",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:37.517042Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:44.207664Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Mistral",
"groupItemThreshold": "8",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454808",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 297428.8576669999,
"liquidityNum": 48397.51373,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-10-10",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 363.8395,
"volume1wk": 1665.2614999999998,
"volume1mo": 48409.400527000034,
"volume1yr": 297428.8576670001,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"6874843307749106777514748985608760833908353294304780811726731755966836832330\", \"97940014695232318307275012509724280752219332316987407568797534668718719992919\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 363.8395,
"volume1wkClob": 1665.2614999999998,
"volume1moClob": 48409.400527000034,
"volume1yrClob": 297428.8576670001,
"volumeClob": 297428.8576669999,
"liquidityClob": 48397.51373,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xb9e2aa71e6a1e71ce0c4e56dc8f3c9f12b7c8b33d2be070b260f0902030c086b",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:36Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8019188313797254,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0005,
"lastTradePrice": 0.002,
"bestBid": 0.002,
"bestAsk": 0.004,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:10.122841Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631149",
"question": "Will Company A have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xce4213079b24e02ee44c724e7042ab66fc77f01fce82bfb1b20c2524250d12ef",
"slug": "will-company-a-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "0",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:52:58.498789Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"volume": "0",
"active": false,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:38.685503Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:45:29.745993Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Company A",
"groupItemThreshold": "10",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e745480a",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 0,
"liquidityNum": 0,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 0,
"volume1wk": 0,
"volume1mo": 0,
"volume1yr": 0,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"98023631224473551029327426198851432640253708163196086379976282262379738496346\", \"5411213137104439744843166169015359971035957680115724532237151699161310015660\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrAmm": 0,
"volume1wkAmm": 0,
"volume1moAmm": 0,
"volume1yrAmm": 0,
"volume24hrClob": 0,
"volume1wkClob": 0,
"volume1moClob": 0,
"volume1yrClob": 0,
"volumeAmm": 0,
"volumeClob": 0,
"liquidityAmm": 0,
"liquidityClob": 0,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x124e5930ff88e0ecb5fa0bfd7bc47bba4aa59db18ffa78b0d816db52bd552ed4",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:36Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 1,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0,
"oneYearPriceChange": 0,
"lastTradePrice": 0,
"bestBid": 0,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": true,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:10.392873Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631151",
"question": "Will Company C have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x04f08e68b89ee5f76aeec75b403bf9687ca6d2c4040e737516b9debb7cbb486b",
"slug": "will-company-c-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "0",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:52:59.977566Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"volume": "0",
"active": false,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:39.750668Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:45:29.860455Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Company C",
"groupItemThreshold": "12",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e745480c",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 0,
"liquidityNum": 0,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 0,
"volume1wk": 0,
"volume1mo": 0,
"volume1yr": 0,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"2678130641180607880267590330100911840998117530629423867963314170728097127232\", \"100186228763559682289383379868159078333574782763095337729242443162259190254714\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrAmm": 0,
"volume1wkAmm": 0,
"volume1moAmm": 0,
"volume1yrAmm": 0,
"volume24hrClob": 0,
"volume1wkClob": 0,
"volume1moClob": 0,
"volume1yrClob": 0,
"volumeAmm": 0,
"volumeClob": 0,
"liquidityAmm": 0,
"liquidityClob": 0,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xcc476ca1786b4e7e8faef157ac194148cc0047f16dac4e4f6a44da10a592eb97",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:38Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 1,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0,
"oneYearPriceChange": 0,
"lastTradePrice": 0,
"bestBid": 0,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": true,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:10.726809Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631153",
"question": "Will Company E have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x0dc7faa4b5ee79d083532267b6bebe2e701c1801506e299193a667d710490580",
"slug": "will-company-e-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "0",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:53:00.231904Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"volume": "0",
"active": false,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:41.19371Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:45:29.965438Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Company E",
"groupItemThreshold": "14",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e745480e",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 0,
"liquidityNum": 0,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 0,
"volume1wk": 0,
"volume1mo": 0,
"volume1yr": 0,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"108687290843205330867587534966556337456233480786996995435906108897474086534694\", \"22574646850857162629422304716979450974051438141340494907447277453643093005109\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrAmm": 0,
"volume1wkAmm": 0,
"volume1moAmm": 0,
"volume1yrAmm": 0,
"volume24hrClob": 0,
"volume1wkClob": 0,
"volume1moClob": 0,
"volume1yrClob": 0,
"volumeAmm": 0,
"volumeClob": 0,
"liquidityAmm": 0,
"liquidityClob": 0,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x0e0d3887eec3fc16d27daf7175e2ea9cd9d28a0d44948b7ea1c97781126e0bc2",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:38Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 1,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0,
"oneYearPriceChange": 0,
"lastTradePrice": 0,
"bestBid": 0,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": true,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:10.994667Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631155",
"question": "Will Company G have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x5deb58f0acf800c229ffef90163ce9c4b26366dae2c2a2fe7efeca3dfb36b87e",
"slug": "will-company-g-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "0",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:52:58.901174Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"volume": "0",
"active": false,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:42.248968Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:45:33.092788Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Company G",
"groupItemThreshold": "16",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454810",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 0,
"liquidityNum": 0,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 0,
"volume1wk": 0,
"volume1mo": 0,
"volume1yr": 0,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"93525469529289438818593703493791690013395522079696192716954753001900505556587\", \"95320650850390554327063215096204230960293938994966620933772656970863581548970\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrAmm": 0,
"volume1wkAmm": 0,
"volume1moAmm": 0,
"volume1yrAmm": 0,
"volume24hrClob": 0,
"volume1wkClob": 0,
"volume1moClob": 0,
"volume1yrClob": 0,
"volumeAmm": 0,
"volumeClob": 0,
"liquidityAmm": 0,
"liquidityClob": 0,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x6a19211e0a73d8707f6db71ae64a1e9170e88930ecccf3304ed353eb2e00f7ee",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:38Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 1,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0,
"oneYearPriceChange": 0,
"lastTradePrice": 0,
"bestBid": 0,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": true,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:11.335439Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631157",
"question": "Will any other company have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x6f22aba4f19ddaedb8674be8ac8d30d1cd8bb81663fef313d76909686eb02521",
"slug": "will-any-other-company-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "0",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:53:01.762931Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"volume": "0",
"active": false,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:43.828948Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:45:33.33789Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Other",
"groupItemThreshold": "18",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454812",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 0,
"liquidityNum": 0,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 0,
"volume1wk": 0,
"volume1mo": 0,
"volume1yr": 0,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"39793926003075939999877234448447017853869163894031154785936511433109057228278\", \"29067207656191531109406194751064394202944528408334729010362794315061624054883\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrAmm": 0,
"volume1wkAmm": 0,
"volume1moAmm": 0,
"volume1yrAmm": 0,
"volume24hrClob": 0,
"volume1wkClob": 0,
"volume1moClob": 0,
"volume1yrClob": 0,
"volumeAmm": 0,
"volumeClob": 0,
"liquidityAmm": 0,
"liquidityClob": 0,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x5a8334eff4b6702a4e011ad83c92f51cfc0eeca42efa5d5567185c8c46d4c501",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:40Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 1,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0,
"oneYearPriceChange": 0,
"lastTradePrice": 0,
"bestBid": 0,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": true,
"negRiskOther": true,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:11.830134Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631140",
"question": "Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xa4d72632ac0ddadcac5247ffc586a193f1bc3bc839cf9ce993c2471e0d599cca",
"slug": "will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "36480.4909",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:52:57.234443Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-2aPXb3voV_7Y.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-2aPXb3voV_7Y.png",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.6525\", \"0.3475\"]",
"volume": "582243.5096999995",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:33.663474Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:38.941369Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Anthropic",
"groupItemThreshold": "1",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454801",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 582243.5096999995,
"liquidityNum": 36480.4909,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-10-10",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 2508.035789,
"volume1wk": 11223.098547000001,
"volume1mo": 218772.2718300005,
"volume1yr": 582243.5097,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"31257690721782087545855558909530748024291398703956697759040950846127149299962\", \"30662373172786599831266104485692607706499745571163346900841435096131975532212\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 2508.035789,
"volume1wkClob": 11223.098547000001,
"volume1moClob": 218772.2718300005,
"volume1yrClob": 582243.5097,
"volumeClob": 582243.5096999995,
"liquidityClob": 36480.4909,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x7a7cd8c49d608def0895ecf498f290f5194faadefa1fcce8f58e6f011140559b",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:34Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.9772723108214585,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "92477",
"conditionId": "0xa4d72632ac0ddadcac5247ffc586a193f1bc3bc839cf9ce993c2471e0d599cca",
"assetAddress": "0x2791Bca1f2de4661ED88A30C99A7a9449Aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
"startDate": "2026-03-04",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.011,
"oneDayPriceChange": -0.009,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0035,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0.252,
"lastTradePrice": 0.647,
"bestBid": 0.647,
"bestAsk": 0.658,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:08.944891Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631142",
"question": "Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x89102f28df8a119d84259cfdd0f2f7f9a758cfdf749554e153c6bf154afbe717",
"slug": "will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "65412.45801",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:52:56.223866Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-jSpk4aBgTVpy.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-jSpk4aBgTVpy.png",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.004\", \"0.996\"]",
"volume": "118344.88752100007",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:34.720484Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:13.934443Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Alibaba",
"groupItemThreshold": "3",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454803",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 118344.88752100007,
"liquidityNum": 65412.45801,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-10-10",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 943.844666,
"volume1wk": 4138.984249,
"volume1mo": 46946.77493300001,
"volume1yr": 118344.88752100003,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"35164817853765000377917251058218520930455369231378236618194237967421575957230\", \"16858205659362892739914788535914800780110344457371177277118733701768617893187\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 943.844666,
"volume1wkClob": 4138.984249,
"volume1moClob": 46946.77493300001,
"volume1yrClob": 118344.88752100003,
"volumeClob": 118344.88752100007,
"liquidityClob": 65412.45801,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x497f2f22851b98285cc4de6e35bb7ef97d2d792498b4dc018fd76ec53ce25492",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:34Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8025579125789717,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"oneHourPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.001,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0075,
"lastTradePrice": 0.003,
"bestBid": 0.003,
"bestAsk": 0.005,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:09.358182Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631144",
"question": "Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x8aed35d66a2094c1221c040489e5507065f7c38381d8874e436a0ce9ff029315",
"slug": "will-xai-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "45187.55363",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:52:56.476315Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-u3iUE4o3SB1s.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-u3iUE4o3SB1s.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.021\", \"0.979\"]",
"volume": "869433.1869809992",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:35.873244Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:27.437948Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "xAI",
"groupItemThreshold": "5",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454805",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 869433.1869809992,
"liquidityNum": 45187.55363,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-10-10",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 1521.3815909999998,
"volume1wk": 19882.523655,
"volume1mo": 792942.8061580006,
"volume1yr": 869433.1869810004,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"111535169822707617708724803776230447684636442572401432413011961922458103225261\", \"5789806975376544517228873670498987386670046318818586942795436544352297539873\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 1521.3815909999998,
"volume1wkClob": 19882.523655,
"volume1moClob": 792942.8061580006,
"volume1yrClob": 869433.1869810004,
"volumeClob": 869433.1869809992,
"liquidityClob": 45187.55363,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0xe8e12c3311e01c5c3799965589661b2cae4f3c91eea64bc6f9d7673f5c3d4f30",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:34Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8133777871406599,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"clobRewards": [
{
"id": "124559",
"conditionId": "0x8aed35d66a2094c1221c040489e5507065f7c38381d8874e436a0ce9ff029315",
"assetAddress": "0x2791bca1f2de4661ed88a30c99a7a9449aa84174",
"rewardsAmount": 0,
"rewardsDailyRate": 0.001,
"startDate": "2026-04-03",
"endDate": "2500-12-31"
}
],
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.004,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0025,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.024,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.063,
"lastTradePrice": 0.02,
"bestBid": 0.019,
"bestAsk": 0.023,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:09.644802Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631146",
"question": "Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x32b8fa5904645a7d096a559783121eb6c0db71487c47db0bcab99a92d5abb0dd",
"slug": "will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "42568.59272",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:52:58.245036Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-TCvFK-_I3gLE.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-TCvFK-_I3gLE.png",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.003\", \"0.997\"]",
"volume": "130978.255515",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:36.986137Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:36.207414Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Moonshot",
"groupItemThreshold": "7",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454807",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 130978.255515,
"liquidityNum": 42568.59272,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-10-10",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 1768.1270000000002,
"volume1wk": 5236.4058319999995,
"volume1mo": 77107.28673500002,
"volume1yr": 130978.25551500003,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"70207170956310444547816117395300777395964810522253487401426301567318449402736\", \"57170555033345318326860758478507472779734319930355330517007701874669322686973\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 1768.1270000000002,
"volume1wkClob": 5236.4058319999995,
"volume1moClob": 77107.28673500002,
"volume1yrClob": 130978.25551500003,
"volumeClob": 130978.255515,
"liquidityClob": 42568.59272,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x762ba22e7a0aa82304f8bb62de87fbb0e1c10c020fec956883529ce741903075",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:34Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8019188313797254,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.002,
"oneWeekPriceChange": -0.0005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.0045,
"lastTradePrice": 0.002,
"bestBid": 0.002,
"bestAsk": 0.004,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:09.888073Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631148",
"question": "Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x0a650c635145e570bfcebccf7cd63f1074d49a13d2e7a384717afeea90cf5d74",
"slug": "will-meituan-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "57613.711",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:52:57.486894Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-top-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026-S2AXaGUMov2m.png",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-top-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026-S2AXaGUMov2m.png",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"outcomePrices": "[\"0.0025\", \"0.9975\"]",
"volume": "165976.06757000016",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:38.051969Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:39:39.277415Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Meituan",
"groupItemThreshold": "9",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454809",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.001,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 165976.06757000016,
"liquidityNum": 57613.711,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"startDateIso": "2025-10-10",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 1680.087333,
"volume1wk": 4292.672833,
"volume1mo": 82878.37165499998,
"volume1yr": 165976.06757000004,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"5731605545890270801208417185721864722458967538511125154395474918993216243602\", \"63406828669228406414270621499972061672296480182400399919643385233834270692057\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrClob": 1680.087333,
"volume1wkClob": 4292.672833,
"volume1moClob": 82878.37165499998,
"volume1yrClob": 165976.06757000004,
"volumeClob": 165976.06757000016,
"liquidityClob": 57613.711,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x8ebfbac7b1e5797a26b0f5adeb5c3248bcbf2bcc137d86a618abb660be93606f",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:36Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0.8015991903848178,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 20,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 3.5,
"spread": 0.001,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0.0005,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0.0005,
"oneMonthPriceChange": -0.001,
"lastTradePrice": 0.001,
"bestBid": 0.002,
"bestAsk": 0.003,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": false,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:10.223423Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631150",
"question": "Will Company B have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xf243f49f25aa69cc55bfa09789c1f85645061625a84c6de14e8f9b2915c12893",
"slug": "will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "0",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:52:57.739485Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"volume": "0",
"active": false,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:39.2135Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:45:33.200786Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Company B",
"groupItemThreshold": "11",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e745480b",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 0,
"liquidityNum": 0,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 0,
"volume1wk": 0,
"volume1mo": 0,
"volume1yr": 0,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"112822149615280401319388307652436430240390571343182695791996435020193227829217\", \"100335241836399280438593113260316929081016516123356836476786219860411314245295\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrAmm": 0,
"volume1wkAmm": 0,
"volume1moAmm": 0,
"volume1yrAmm": 0,
"volume24hrClob": 0,
"volume1wkClob": 0,
"volume1moClob": 0,
"volume1yrClob": 0,
"volumeAmm": 0,
"volumeClob": 0,
"liquidityAmm": 0,
"liquidityClob": 0,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x37064eb8e8b7502dd3e01b8ecb5cf63db44fecec9a284c84417ec4787b8b8378",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:36Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 1,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0,
"oneYearPriceChange": 0,
"lastTradePrice": 0,
"bestBid": 0,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": true,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:10.524631Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631152",
"question": "Will Company D have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x94d08baa1c18020cd133bb5eb7486001ad4336bb6a488f8ad34b679af1b58a88",
"slug": "will-company-d-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "0",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:52:59.154914Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"volume": "0",
"active": false,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:40.632709Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:45:33.285148Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Company D",
"groupItemThreshold": "13",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e745480d",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 0,
"liquidityNum": 0,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 0,
"volume1wk": 0,
"volume1mo": 0,
"volume1yr": 0,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"100189910596092468097636932150652576039440576316835827589951276718976760176506\", \"93119346911434279200900950132700321892904145117051579235198097451056954734062\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrAmm": 0,
"volume1wkAmm": 0,
"volume1moAmm": 0,
"volume1yrAmm": 0,
"volume24hrClob": 0,
"volume1wkClob": 0,
"volume1moClob": 0,
"volume1yrClob": 0,
"volumeAmm": 0,
"volumeClob": 0,
"liquidityAmm": 0,
"liquidityClob": 0,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x42d9c0696e5ecd1738c1ca0d301f7ca4babc8f9a4a0fc244bf13c166abf88ca6",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:38Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 1,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0,
"oneYearPriceChange": 0,
"lastTradePrice": 0,
"bestBid": 0,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": true,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:10.898111Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631154",
"question": "Will Company F have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0xba380781110e6496ca463adb7a6d84279d8dd8e74a119cf8682958286ab3418b",
"slug": "will-company-f-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "0",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:52:59.408046Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"volume": "0",
"active": false,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:41.711723Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:45:33.173357Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Company F",
"groupItemThreshold": "15",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e745480f",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 0,
"liquidityNum": 0,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 0,
"volume1wk": 0,
"volume1mo": 0,
"volume1yr": 0,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"112709704384771164474824188269756093656949448763076194041526624442147457945241\", \"28053627821703530468584912238383337828346706754823766685056922010844761959906\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrAmm": 0,
"volume1wkAmm": 0,
"volume1moAmm": 0,
"volume1yrAmm": 0,
"volume24hrClob": 0,
"volume1wkClob": 0,
"volume1moClob": 0,
"volume1yrClob": 0,
"volumeAmm": 0,
"volumeClob": 0,
"liquidityAmm": 0,
"liquidityClob": 0,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x81732c33cdf219d51a6992f8190046a2376ce0d9497c0a23390f13bba5c996c6",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:38Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 1,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0,
"oneYearPriceChange": 0,
"lastTradePrice": 0,
"bestBid": 0,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": true,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:11.18753Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
},
{
"id": "631156",
"question": "Will Company H have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?",
"conditionId": "0x79b5f50acfa3d05f0f12275851916041dda5bca6aaedf3d98111ff2cc3512b57",
"slug": "will-company-h-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-june-2026",
"endDate": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
"liquidity": "0",
"startDate": "2025-10-10T21:52:59.661466Z",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"description": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Arena Score\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nIf two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, \"Google\" would resolve to \"Yes\", and \"xAI\" would resolve to \"No\")\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.",
"outcomes": "[\"Yes\", \"No\"]",
"volume": "0",
"active": false,
"closed": false,
"marketMakerAddress": "",
"createdAt": "2025-10-10T20:29:42.859417Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:45:33.345631Z",
"new": false,
"featured": false,
"submitted_by": "0x91430CaD2d3975766499717fA0D66A78D814E5c5",
"archived": false,
"resolvedBy": "0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d",
"restricted": true,
"groupItemTitle": "Company H",
"groupItemThreshold": "17",
"questionID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454811",
"enableOrderBook": true,
"orderPriceMinTickSize": 0.01,
"orderMinSize": 5,
"volumeNum": 0,
"liquidityNum": 0,
"endDateIso": "2026-06-30",
"hasReviewedDates": true,
"volume24hr": 0,
"volume1wk": 0,
"volume1mo": 0,
"volume1yr": 0,
"clobTokenIds": "[\"15221962868611373157826398358762187983538920591836763428396327668618887871558\", \"46161695634377884794563872851655674041587122689776624590872797404510377005648\"]",
"umaBond": "500",
"umaReward": "5",
"volume24hrAmm": 0,
"volume1wkAmm": 0,
"volume1moAmm": 0,
"volume1yrAmm": 0,
"volume24hrClob": 0,
"volume1wkClob": 0,
"volume1moClob": 0,
"volume1yrClob": 0,
"volumeAmm": 0,
"volumeClob": 0,
"liquidityAmm": 0,
"liquidityClob": 0,
"customLiveness": 0,
"acceptingOrders": true,
"negRisk": true,
"negRiskMarketID": "0xf9cd767f8f2fd8aeb2984003505f72de3aa4cb8cf53ff28b848027f0e7454800",
"negRiskRequestID": "0x71eb0f790e271426c81260d333849d6ee6616c5e37565b9e65ae752619c5efde",
"ready": false,
"funded": false,
"acceptingOrdersTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:52:38Z",
"cyom": false,
"competitive": 0,
"pagerDutyNotificationEnabled": false,
"approved": true,
"rewardsMinSize": 0,
"rewardsMaxSpread": 0,
"spread": 1,
"oneDayPriceChange": 0,
"oneHourPriceChange": 0,
"oneWeekPriceChange": 0,
"oneMonthPriceChange": 0,
"oneYearPriceChange": 0,
"lastTradePrice": 0,
"bestBid": 0,
"bestAsk": 1,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"clearBookOnStart": true,
"showGmpSeries": false,
"showGmpOutcome": false,
"manualActivation": true,
"negRiskOther": false,
"umaResolutionStatuses": "[]",
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:27:11.560877Z",
"rfqEnabled": false,
"holdingRewardsEnabled": false,
"feesEnabled": false,
"requiresTranslation": false,
"feeType": null
}
],
"series": [
{
"id": "10030",
"ticker": "best-ai-company",
"slug": "best-ai-company",
"title": "Best AI Company",
"seriesType": "single",
"recurrence": "monthly",
"image": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"icon": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg",
"active": true,
"closed": false,
"archived": false,
"featured": false,
"restricted": true,
"createdAt": "2025-02-01T00:23:50.592739Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-04-06T19:36:51.702375Z",
"volume24hr": 265280.087346,
"volume": 7223900.700062001,
"liquidity": 1401810.96709,
"commentCount": 3888,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"tags": [
{
"id": "1401",
"label": "Tech",
"slug": "tech",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2024-02-21 23:06:12.305+00",
"createdAt": "2024-02-21T23:06:12.324Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:20:01.532137Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "101999",
"label": "Big Tech",
"slug": "big-tech",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-03-26T21:46:09.386953Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:38.73488Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "102464",
"label": "GPT-5",
"slug": "gpt-5",
"forceShow": false,
"createdAt": "2025-08-06T06:36:21.62604Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:23:42.248184Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "540",
"label": "Grok",
"slug": "grok",
"forceShow": false,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-18 00:05:59.677+00",
"createdAt": "2023-11-18T00:05:59.693Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:32:04.322179Z",
"isCarousel": false,
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "537",
"label": "OpenAI",
"slug": "openai",
"publishedAt": "2023-11-17 23:46:12.865+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-17T23:46:12.878Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:26:42.774906Z",
"requiresTranslation": false
},
{
"id": "439",
"label": "AI",
"slug": "ai",
"forceShow": true,
"publishedAt": "2023-11-02 23:08:32.469+00",
"updatedBy": 15,
"createdAt": "2023-11-02T23:08:32.49Z",
"updatedAt": "2026-03-09T22:34:38.747836Z",
"isCarousel": true,
"requiresTranslation": false
}
],
"cyom": false,
"showAllOutcomes": true,
"showMarketImages": true,
"enableNegRisk": true,
"automaticallyActive": true,
"seriesSlug": "best-ai-company",
"gmpChartMode": "default",
"negRiskAugmented": true,
"cumulativeMarkets": false,
"pendingDeployment": false,
"deploying": false,
"deployingTimestamp": "2025-10-10T21:26:09.123798Z",
"requiresTranslation": false,
"eventMetadata": {
"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 65.3% implied probability to Anthropic holding the best AI model by end of June, driven by Claude Opus 4.6's dominance in key benchmarks like SWE-bench Lite (62.7% score, leading by 6+ points) and consistent top rankings across coding and execution evaluations in Q1 2026 reports. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro trails at 21.5% after strong showings in reasoning and terminal tasks but lags in overall leaderboard aggregates such as those from Artificial Analysis and Onyx. OpenAI's GPT-5.4 sits at 10%, reflecting slower gains post-March releases amid competitive pressure. Recent March drops like DeepSeek V3.2 and Kimi K2 boosted Chinese contenders briefly, but no model dethroned Claude. Watch April catalysts including OpenAI's \"Spud\" (GPT-5.5), Anthropic's rumored Mythos, and xAI Grok 5 beta, which could shift dynamics before resolution on LMSYS-style leaderboards.",
"context_requires_regen": true,
"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T19:18:23.088Z"
}
}