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Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on a listed country's soil or any official embassy or consulate of a listed country on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Iranian military forces that impact a listed country's ground territory or any official embassy or consulate of that country (e.g., if a weapons depot on a listed country soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on a listed country's territory or cause damage. Strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted as Israel. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US or Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Ticker
which-countries-will-iran-strike-in-march
Volume
6.5M
24h volume
1.4M
1w volume
2.7M
Open interest
1.7M
Liquidity
4.0M
Liquidity CLOB
4.0M
Start
Feb 28, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 28, 2026
Event ID
236943
Slug
which-countries-will-iran-strike-in-march
Markets
38
Tags
Raw event data
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}- Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?Vol 394.9KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia in March?Vol 153.0KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Oman in March?Vol 108.5KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Qatar in March?Vol 76.5KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Iraq again in March?Vol 41.0KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Jordan again in March?Vol 27.0KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Israel in March?Vol 18.7KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Qatar again in March?Vol 8.8KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Israel again in March?Vol 4.8KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Vol —Liq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Bahrain in March?Vol —Liq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike UAE in March?Vol —Liq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Kuwait in March?Vol —Liq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Vol —Liq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Iraq in March?Vol —Liq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?Vol —Liq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia again in March?Vol —Liq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Kuwait again in March?Vol —Liq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike UAE again in March?Vol 1.2MLiq 2.2MEnd Mar 7, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Iran strike Oman again in March?Vol 1.3MLiq 1.8MEnd Mar 7, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Vol 1.3MLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Vol 533.7KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Syria in March?Vol 370.4KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Poland by March 31?Vol 283.7KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike India in March?Vol 119.3KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Yemen in March?Vol 100.2KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Spain by March 31?Vol 89.0KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Afghanistan in March?Vol 84.7KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?Vol 77.3KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31?Vol 59.2KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by March 31?Vol 44.6KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Germany by March 31?Vol 7.8KLiq 0End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Ukraine by March 31?Vol 7.4KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike France by March 31?Vol 6.5KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Hungary by March 31?Vol 2.7KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Armenia by March 31?Vol 2.7KLiq 0End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Italy by March 31?Vol 2.7KLiq —End Mar 7, 2026Closed
- Will Iran strike Georgia by March 31?Vol 1.7KLiq 0End Mar 7, 2026Closed