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Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Ticker
which-party-wins-2028-us-presidential-election
Volume
1.6M
24h volume
9.1K
1w volume
48.6K
Open interest
845.2K
Liquidity
840.6K
Liquidity CLOB
840.6K
Start
Jul 18, 2025
End
Nov 7, 2028
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 18, 2025
Event ID
33228
Slug
which-party-wins-2028-us-presidential-election
Markets
15
Raw event data
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 59.5% probability for Democrats to win the 2028 US presidential election, up sharply following public backlash to Operation Epic Fury—the US military campaign against Iran launched in late February 2026—which has driven down Republican favorability amid reports of casualties, missile expenditures, and Strait of Hormuz disruptions threatening energy prices. President Trump's term limit creates an open-seat contest with no incumbent advantage, where Vice President JD Vance leads Republican nominee markets at around 18% while Gavin Newsom tops Democrats similarly, but overall sentiment favors a Democratic rebound. Early hypothetical polls show slight Democratic edges, with 2026 midterms poised as key tests for swing state dynamics and party turnout ahead of the November 2028 vote.",
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"context_updated_at": "2026-04-06T16:48:02.101Z"
}
}- Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Vol 698.5KLiq 254.1KEnd Nov 7, 2028OpenOrder book
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Vol 917.9KLiq 587.8KEnd Nov 7, 2028OpenOrder book
- Will Party K win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 7, 2028OpenOrder book
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- Will another party win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 7, 2028OpenOrder book
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- Will Party A win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 7, 2028OpenOrder book
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- Will Party I win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 7, 2028OpenOrder book
- Will Party J win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Vol 0Liq 0End Nov 7, 2028OpenOrder book