Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Name: Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Start: 2026-03-09T18:25:30.917975Z
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00Z
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz (chokepoint 6) equal to or above __ for any date between market creation and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points, made within this market’s timeframe, will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for March 31, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Ticker
will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march
Volume
680.9K
24h volume
9.9K
1w volume
70.3K
Open interest
195.7K
Liquidity
23.6K
Liquidity CLOB
23.6K
Start
Mar 9, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Mar 9, 2026
Event ID
256629
Slug
will-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-in-march
Markets
Tags
Economy Trump Oil Iran close Hormoz Geopolitics Hormuz Strait of Hormuz
Raw event data
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