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Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
Prediction market · Polymarket
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran." General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war. Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war. The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ticker
will-trump-declare-war-on-iran-by
Volume
696.4K
24h volume
16.6K
1w volume
457.9K
Open interest
76.7K
Liquidity
23.5K
Liquidity CLOB
23.5K
Start
Feb 24, 2026
End
Mar 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Feb 24, 2026
Event ID
228292
Slug
will-trump-declare-war-on-iran-by
Markets
3
Raw event data
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}- Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Vol 144.4KLiq 23.6KEnd Apr 30, 2026OpenOrder book
- Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?Vol 327.0KLiq —End Mar 31, 2026Closed
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