
Prediction market · Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ticker
will-trump-pardon-ghislaine-maxwell
Volume
539.3K
24h volume
86
1w volume
4.5K
Open interest
103.8K
Liquidity
37.4K
Liquidity CLOB
37.4K
Start
Jul 23, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2026
Status
Active
Access
Restricted
Created
Jul 23, 2025
Event ID
33705
Slug
will-trump-pardon-ghislaine-maxwell
Markets
1
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"context_description": "Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no presidential pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026 at 92.5% implied probability, driven by President Trump's repeated public disinterest and absence of any White House signals despite her legal team's persistent appeals. Maxwell, serving a 20-year federal sentence for sex trafficking tied to Jeffrey Epstein, had her attorney confirm ongoing pardon efforts as recently as March 13 amid a February House Oversight Committee deposition where she pleaded the Fifth but offered testimony exonerating Trump and others in exchange for clemency. Bipartisan opposition, including a Senate resolution against relief, underscores political risks, with traders viewing low odds of reversal absent a major scandal or shift in executive action before resolution.",
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